TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092912
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Milota
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911115911––
Radim Adam
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Milota to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Milota above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Milota at 57.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milota 10–3 Radim Adam Radim Adam has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:40What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Milota
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Milota
Wrong
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milota 1421 vs Adam 1565
Adam
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milota 0% vs Adam 60%
Adam
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milota 20% vs Adam 70%
Adam
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milota -5 · Adam -1
Milota
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Milota) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilota 1.57 / Adam 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Adam)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092912
Milota1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 29 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it63% 20 of 32
Adam2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 38 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMilota8wins
AwayAdam2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMilota leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilota85.7%6 of 7
AwayAdam33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milota7Adam3n = 10Milota took 7 of 10
S2Milota6Adam4n = 10Milota took 6 of 10
S3Milota5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S4Milota6Adam2n = 8Milota took 6 of 8
S5Milota3Adam1n = 4Milota took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMilotaAdamM − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.036.3+6.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilotaAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 282 vs 190 / 36745.4%51.8%128 / 282 vs 190 / 367Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilotaMilota 1.57/Adam 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Milota · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 07:00T. Milota—1111133R. Adam—86110
WJun 19 · 15:00T. Milota—911113123R. Adam—118611102
WJun 11 · 21:30T. Milota—1191111113R. Adam—21113782
WJun 11 · 18:00T. Milota—711911113R. Adam—11111572
WApr 16 · 21:00T. Milota—13148133R. Adam—111211111
LApr 16 · 20:30T. Milota—81151182R. Adam—112118113
WApr 10 · 19:00T. Milota—1111113R. Adam—6440
WOct 27 · 21:53T. Milota—11911113R. Adam—711951
LOct 27 · 19:30T. Milota—1199121R. Adam—81111143
WOct 10 · 07:00T. Milota—13511113R. Adam—1111881
T. Milota10
LSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171LSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 8 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.401111113T. Milota2.753950LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562
R. Adam10
WSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171LSep 8 · 19:30R. Adam2.201179111R. Vavrecka1.6141111133WSep 8 · 18:30L. Velicka1.7341111892R. Adam2.00116711113WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113
Upcoming Matches
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R. Adam
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