TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091776
Played Sep 8Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119115––––
Tomas Milota
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:18 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timeRadomir Vavrecka to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Tomas Milota below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Radomir Vavrecka at 71.8%
50 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 9–2 Tomas Milota Tomas Milota has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1524 vs Milota 1449
Vavrecka
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 60% vs Milota 0%
Vavrecka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 50% vs Milota 30%
Vavrecka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +1 · Milota -5
Milota
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milota form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.40 / Milota 2.75
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Milota)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091776
Vavrecka1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 45 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 31 of 44
Milota2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 30 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka8wins
AwayMilota2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka100%6 of 6
AwayMilota50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka6Milota4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Vavrecka6Milota4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Vavrecka7Milota3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka4Milota2n = 6Vavrecka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaMilotaV − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.933.0+3.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaMilotaBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 273 vs 129 / 28451.7%45.4%141 / 273 vs 129 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.40/Milota 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 21:28R. Vavrecka—71112113T. Milota—1181041
WJul 21 · 19:30R. Vavrecka—111011113T. Milota—712991
WJun 26 · 08:30R. Vavrecka—1112113T. Milota—21070
WApr 27 · 06:30R. Vavrecka—961112113T. Milota—111161072
WFeb 15 · 16:00R. Vavrecka—1111113T. Milota—4780
WFeb 3 · 22:00R. Vavrecka—131167133T. Milota—1171111112
WFeb 3 · 21:00R. Vavrecka—11125113T. Milota—3101151
LJan 7 · 21:00R. Vavrecka—351151T. Milota—11118113
LJan 3 · 22:31R. Vavrecka—61060T. Milota—1112113
WJan 3 · 21:00R. Vavrecka—1211113T. Milota—10750
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 7 · 17:28J. Levicky1.8341211962R. Vavrecka1.831110811113LSep 7 · 16:00R. Vavrecka1.731213471J. Levicky2.00101511113WSep 7 · 15:30O. Hradil2.25118131172R. Vavrecka1.579111113113WSep 7 · 14:00R. Vavrecka1.911011411113L. Velicka1.8012311862LSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230LSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891WSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162
T. Milota10
LSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562LSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 31 · 21:30T. Milota2.206650J. Levicky1.601111113
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