TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13100909
Played Sep 8Finished
Radim Adam
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119611117––
Tomas Milota
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Tomas Milota below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7
72 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 4–10 Tomas Milota Radim Adam has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Adam beat Milota 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Milota)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milota form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 2.00 / Milota 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adam)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13100909
Adam2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 38 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Milota1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 29 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it63% 20 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam3wins
AwayMilota7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMilota leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam50%2 of 4
AwayMilota83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam4Milota6n = 10Milota took 6 of 10
S2Adam4Milota6n = 10Milota took 6 of 10
S3Adam5Milota5n = 10split evenly
S4Adam3Milota5n = 8Milota took 5 of 8
S5Adam1Milota3n = 4Milota took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamMilotaA − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.342.6−6.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamMilotaBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 368 vs 128 / 28351.9%45.2%191 / 368 vs 128 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 2.00/Milota 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Milota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 20:30R. Adam—11115113T. Milota—791191
LAug 20 · 07:00R. Adam—86110T. Milota—1111133
LJun 19 · 15:00R. Adam—118611102T. Milota—911113123
LJun 11 · 21:30R. Adam—21113782T. Milota—1191111113
LJun 11 · 18:00R. Adam—11111572T. Milota—711911113
LApr 16 · 21:00R. Adam—111211111T. Milota—13148133
WApr 16 · 20:30R. Adam—112118113T. Milota—81151182
LApr 10 · 19:00R. Adam—6440T. Milota—1111113
LOct 27 · 21:53R. Adam—711951T. Milota—11911113
WOct 27 · 19:30R. Adam—81111143T. Milota—1199121
R. Adam10
WSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:30R. Adam2.201179111R. Vavrecka1.6141111133WSep 8 · 18:30L. Velicka1.7341111892R. Adam2.00116711113WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123WSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113
T. Milota10
LSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 8 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.401111113T. Milota2.753950LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981WSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:00T. Milota2.25118811113J. Levicky1.5761111562
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