TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099130
Played Sep 9Finished
Radim Adam
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811411––––
Michal Koral
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Michal Koral below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Radim Adam at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 3–7 Michal Koral Radim Adam has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 13:34What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Koral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Koral
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1579 vs Koral 1434
Adam
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 80% vs Koral 20%
Adam
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 70% vs Koral 30%
Adam
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +2 · Koral -4
Koral
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adam)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.83 / Koral 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adam)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099130
Adam1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Koral1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam3wins
AwayKoral7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKoral leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam60%3 of 5
AwayKoral100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam5Koral5n = 10split evenly
S2Adam3Koral7n = 10Koral took 7 of 10
S3Adam4Koral6n = 10Koral took 6 of 10
S4Adam4Koral3n = 7Adam took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamKoralA − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.537.1−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamKoralBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 369 vs 104 / 20552%50.7%192 / 369 vs 104 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.83/Koral 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Koral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 11:30R. Adam—1112113M. Koral—81080
LAug 27 · 18:00R. Adam—10511111M. Koral—12119133
LMay 29 · 11:00R. Adam—116651M. Koral—41111113
WMay 28 · 12:00R. Adam—11511113M. Koral—411771
LMay 11 · 17:30R. Adam—911671M. Koral—11911113
LMay 11 · 14:30R. Adam—7690M. Koral—1111113
LApr 19 · 11:00R. Adam—8960M. Koral—1111113
LApr 18 · 15:00R. Adam—71191172M. Koral—115119113
WApr 2 · 20:30R. Adam—11511113M. Koral—911451
LApr 1 · 20:00R. Adam—11971192M. Koral—811119113
R. Adam10
WSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171WSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:30R. Adam2.201179111R. Vavrecka1.6141111133WSep 8 · 18:30L. Velicka1.7341111892R. Adam2.00116711113WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113LSep 2 · 12:00R. Adam2.507116101P. Osvald1.5011411123
M. Koral10
LSep 8 · 17:00I. Taichman1.421113811113M. Koral2.6051511982LSep 8 · 16:00P. Hanel1.83821211133M. Koral1.831111109112LSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181LSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral1.731168121I. Taichman2.0091111143WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113LAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113
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