TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092965
Played Sep 8Finished
Patrik Hanel
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81121112101191311
Michal Koral
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Hanel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Hanel above · Michal Koral below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 98 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Patrik Hanel at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Koral
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hanel 1554 vs Koral 1451
Hanel
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanel 40% vs Koral 20%
Hanel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanel 60% vs Koral 30%
Hanel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanel -1 · Koral -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanel 1.83 / Koral 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hanel)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092965
Hanel1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Koral1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanelKoralBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 109 vs 104 / 20348.6%51.2%53 / 109 vs 104 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanelHanel 1.83/Koral 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hanel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hanel won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Hanel10
WSep 8 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.613930P. Hanel2.201111113WSep 8 · 15:30I. Taichman1.5711116592P. Hanel2.25561111113LSep 8 · 14:00P. Hanel1.911111481M. Blejchar1.8061311113WSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:30P. Hanel2.10591171M. Blejchar1.6711115113WSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162
M. Koral10
LSep 8 · 17:00I. Taichman1.421113811113M. Koral2.6051511982LSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181LSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral1.731168121I. Taichman2.0091111143WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113LAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182
Upcoming Matches
P. Hanel
Nothing scheduled
M. Koral
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