TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091843
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115116911118––
Michal Koral
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Koral to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Michal Koral below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Koral at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 7–6 Michal Koral Michal Koral has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Koral
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1544 vs Koral 1460
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 60% vs Koral 40%
Blejchar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 60% vs Koral 30%
Blejchar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar +1 · Koral -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koral)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 2.00 / Koral 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Blejchar)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091843
Blejchar2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 66 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Koral1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 39 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it72% 33 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar5wins
AwayKoral5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar75%3 of 4
AwayKoral66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar4Koral6n = 10Koral took 6 of 10
S2Blejchar6Koral4n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S3Blejchar4Koral6n = 10Koral took 6 of 10
S4Blejchar4Koral3n = 7Blejchar took 4 of 7
S5Blejchar2Koral2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharKoralB − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.738.0−0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharKoralBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 661 vs 104 / 20248.1%51.5%318 / 661 vs 104 / 202Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralBlejchar 2.00/Koral 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 18:00M. Blejchar—81260M. Koral—1114113
LJul 22 · 15:00M. Blejchar—11114582M. Koral—761111113
WJul 19 · 08:30M. Blejchar—119117113M. Koral—61161152
WJun 9 · 08:00M. Blejchar—991111113M. Koral—11117272
LMay 29 · 13:28M. Blejchar—410110M. Koral—1112133
WMay 29 · 10:00M. Blejchar—91412113M. Koral—11121091
WMay 16 · 17:30M. Blejchar—1111113M. Koral—6980
WMay 16 · 15:00M. Blejchar—111110113M. Koral—951231
LMay 11 · 15:30M. Blejchar—101131162M. Koral—128118113
LApr 22 · 20:30M. Blejchar—411631M. Koral—11811113
M. Blejchar10
WSep 8 · 14:00P. Hanel1.911111481M. Blejchar1.8061311113LSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110WSep 7 · 16:30P. Hanel2.10591171M. Blejchar1.6711115113LSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113WSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100WSep 7 · 12:30P. Osvald1.53811691M. Blejchar2.3811611113WSep 7 · 11:30M. Blejchar1.91991111113O. Hradil1.8011118842LSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143
M. Koral10
LSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral1.731168121I. Taichman2.0091111143WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113LAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182LAug 31 · 10:00M. Koral1.73661181V. Bosak2.0011115113LAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082
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