TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091775
Played Sep 8Finished
Michal Koral
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1196118111214––
Ivo Taichman
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:17 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 82 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 55.2%
82 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 10–12 Ivo Taichman Michal Koral has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:17What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Koral
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Taichman
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koral 1483 vs Taichman 1473
Koral
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 60% vs Taichman 80%
Taichman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 40% vs Taichman 60%
Taichman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral +1 · Taichman +4
Taichman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 1.73 / Taichman 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Koral)+1.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091775
Koral1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 39 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it72% 33 of 46
Taichman2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 80 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoral5wins
AwayTaichman5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoral66.7%4 of 6
AwayTaichman75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koral6Taichman4n = 10Koral took 6 of 10
S2Koral8Taichman2n = 10Koral took 8 of 10
S3Koral5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S4Koral4Taichman4n = 8split evenly
S5Koral1Taichman4n = 5Taichman took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoralTaichmanK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.141.7−0.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 201 vs 249 / 48651.7%51.2%104 / 201 vs 249 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKoral 1.73/Taichman 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 11:30M. Koral—55111182I. Taichman—111178113
WAug 27 · 20:58M. Koral—12119123I. Taichman—10911101
LAug 27 · 19:30M. Koral—711751I. Taichman—11611113
WJul 22 · 14:30M. Koral—1211113I. Taichman—10950
WJul 7 · 13:30M. Koral—1111123I. Taichman—66100
WJul 7 · 11:00M. Koral—1261011133I. Taichman—1011128112
LJun 9 · 06:30M. Koral—61111882I. Taichman—118911113
WMay 28 · 13:00M. Koral—111113113I. Taichman—1371181
LMay 28 · 10:30M. Koral—14117212I. Taichman—1281111113
LMay 28 · 06:00M. Koral—1111128102I. Taichman—581411123
M. Koral10
LSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113LAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182LAug 31 · 10:00M. Koral1.73661181V. Bosak2.0011115113LAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082
I. Taichman10
LSep 8 · 15:30I. Taichman1.5711116592P. Hanel2.25561111113WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113LAug 29 · 20:59I. Taichman1.83814761V. Bosak1.83111211113
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