TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092904
Played Sep 8Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115116611511911
Patrik Hanel
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 86 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 58.9%
86 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 15–7 Patrik Hanel Patrik Hanel has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Taichman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-7 in 22
Taichman
Wrong
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1496 vs Hanel 1545
Hanel
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 100% vs Hanel 40%
Taichman
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 70% vs Hanel 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman +5 · Hanel -1
Taichman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Taichman) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.57 / Hanel 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Taichman)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092904
Taichman1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 102 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it77% 78 of 102
Hanel2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 26 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman5wins
AwayHanel5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman80%4 of 5
AwayHanel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman5Hanel5n = 10split evenly
S2Taichman5Hanel5n = 10split evenly
S3Taichman6Hanel4n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S4Taichman5Hanel4n = 9Taichman took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanHanelT − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.4+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 487 vs 53 / 10951.3%48.6%250 / 487 vs 53 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.57/Hanel 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 18:00I. Taichman—11311113P. Hanel—511831
LAug 28 · 20:58I. Taichman—991261P. Hanel—111110113
LAug 28 · 20:30I. Taichman—811871P. Hanel—11911113
LAug 6 · 16:30I. Taichman—1041111112P. Hanel—121199133
WJul 17 · 15:30I. Taichman—1111113P. Hanel—5930
WJul 9 · 21:30I. Taichman—11116113P. Hanel—471181
WJul 9 · 20:00I. Taichman—12711113P. Hanel—1011571
LJul 8 · 18:00I. Taichman—13101591P. Hanel—111217113
WJul 6 · 17:30I. Taichman—81211113P. Hanel—1110791
LJul 6 · 16:30I. Taichman—6118101P. Hanel—11611123
I. Taichman10
LSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770WSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral1.731168121I. Taichman2.0091111143WSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182WSep 5 · 20:00I. Taichman1.831118113T. Kraninger1.8371690WSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133WSep 5 · 18:00I. Taichman1.611111911113M. Jasek2.2091311882LAug 31 · 13:30V. Bosak1.8019119113I. Taichman1.911791171LAug 31 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80911711113I. Taichman1.9111911492WAug 31 · 11:30I. Taichman2.00111178113M. Koral1.7355111182WAug 31 · 10:30T. Milkov1.83105111192I. Taichman1.83121159113
P. Hanel10
WSep 8 · 16:00P. Hanel1.83821211133M. Koral1.831111109112LSep 8 · 14:00P. Hanel1.911111481M. Blejchar1.8061311113WSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:30P. Hanel2.10591171M. Blejchar1.6711115113WSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162LSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580
Upcoming Matches
I. Taichman
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P. Hanel
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