TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099742
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911311––––
Patrik Hanel
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:58 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 48 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 54.4%
48 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 3–1 Patrik Hanel Patrik Hanel has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Blejchar beat Hanel 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Blejchar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Blejchar
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1565 vs Hanel 1562
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 80% vs Hanel 60%
Blejchar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 80% vs Hanel 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar +3 · Hanel +2
Blejchar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.61 / Hanel 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Blejchar)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099742
Blejchar1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 93 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 58 of 71
Hanel2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 26 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBlejchar3wins
AwayHanel1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBlejchar leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar2Hanel2n = 4split evenly
S2Blejchar3Hanel1n = 4Blejchar took 3 of 4
S3Blejchar2Hanel2n = 4split evenly
S4Blejchar4Hanel0n = 4Blejchar took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBlejcharHanelB − HBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.837.0+5.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 663 vs 55 / 11148.3%49.6%320 / 663 vs 55 / 111Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharBlejchar 1.61/Hanel 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hanel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 8 · 14:00M. Blejchar—61311113P. Hanel—1111481
WSep 7 · 16:30M. Blejchar—11115113P. Hanel—591171
LSep 6 · 15:00M. Blejchar—139111162P. Hanel—151194103
WAug 28 · 18:30M. Blejchar—13117113P. Hanel—1141171
M. Blejchar10
WSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770WSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181WSep 8 · 14:00P. Hanel1.911111481M. Blejchar1.8061311113LSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110WSep 7 · 16:30P. Hanel2.10591171M. Blejchar1.6711115113LSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113WSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100WSep 7 · 12:30P. Osvald1.53811691M. Blejchar2.3811611113WSep 7 · 11:30M. Blejchar1.91991111113O. Hradil1.8011118842
P. Hanel10
WSep 8 · 16:00P. Hanel1.83821211133M. Koral1.831111109112WSep 8 · 15:30I. Taichman1.5711116592P. Hanel2.25561111113LSep 8 · 14:00P. Hanel1.911111481M. Blejchar1.8061311113WSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:30P. Hanel2.10591171M. Blejchar1.6711115113WSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660WSep 6 · 17:03P. Hanel1.1711811113V. Bosak4.50411651WSep 6 · 16:30P. Hanel1.531111113V. Bosak2.387990WSep 6 · 15:00P. Hanel2.10151194103M. Blejchar1.67139111162
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