TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098720
Played Sep 9Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1131191012911118
Roman Guliak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:38 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 60.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 20–15 Roman Guliak Roman Guliak has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-15 in 35
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1583 vs Guliak 1505
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 80% vs Guliak 20%
Blejchar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 80% vs Guliak 40%
Blejchar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar +4 · Guliak -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.44 / Guliak 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Blejchar)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098720
Blejchar1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 99 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it83% 63 of 76
Guliak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar6wins
AwayGuliak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar66.7%4 of 6
AwayGuliak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar6Guliak4n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S2Blejchar7Guliak3n = 10Blejchar took 7 of 10
S3Blejchar6Guliak4n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S4Blejchar4Guliak3n = 7Blejchar took 4 of 7
S5Blejchar1Guliak3n = 4Guliak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharGuliakB − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.234.7+5.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 664 vs 346 / 68848.3%50.3%321 / 664 vs 346 / 688Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharBlejchar 1.44/Guliak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 14:30M. Blejchar—11118113R. Guliak—671151
LSep 5 · 19:00M. Blejchar—111191162R. Guliak—139114113
WSep 5 · 16:30M. Blejchar—1111113R. Guliak—3190
LAug 20 · 08:00M. Blejchar—11119872R. Guliak—481111113
WAug 8 · 11:30M. Blejchar—1111138113R. Guliak—513111192
WAug 7 · 18:30M. Blejchar—71111113R. Guliak—118581
WMay 18 · 18:00M. Blejchar—41511113R. Guliak—1113771
LMay 16 · 19:00M. Blejchar—117111192R. Guliak—811513113
LMay 11 · 16:58M. Blejchar—4580R. Guliak—1111113
WMay 11 · 14:00M. Blejchar—1111113R. Guliak—3720
M. Blejchar10
WSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113WSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350WSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:00P. Varecha2.634460M. Blejchar1.441111113WSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 8 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.613930P. Hanel2.201111113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770WSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181WSep 8 · 14:00P. Hanel1.911111481M. Blejchar1.8061311113LSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110
R. Guliak10
LSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113LSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992LSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113
Upcoming Matches
M. Blejchar
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R. Guliak
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