TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099221
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Koral
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116711911––
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Koral to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Michal Koral at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 6–8 Marek Blejchar Michal Koral has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 14:06What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koral 1453 vs Blejchar 1591
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 20% vs Blejchar 100%
Blejchar
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 40% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral +1 · Blejchar +5
Blejchar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 2.00 / Blejchar 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Blejchar)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099221
Koral2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 27 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Blejchar1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 99 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it83% 63 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoral4wins
AwayBlejchar6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoral60%3 of 5
AwayBlejchar80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koral5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S2Koral4Blejchar6n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S3Koral6Blejchar4n = 10Koral took 6 of 10
S4Koral2Blejchar5n = 7Blejchar took 5 of 7
S5Koral2Blejchar2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoralBlejcharK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.939.5−2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 206 vs 319 / 66151%48.3%105 / 206 vs 319 / 661Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharKoral 2.00/Blejchar 1.73
Hit
What we said
57.3%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 15:00M. Koral—561181M. Blejchar—11119113
WAug 30 · 18:00M. Koral—1114113M. Blejchar—81260
WJul 22 · 15:00M. Koral—761111113M. Blejchar—11114582
LJul 19 · 08:30M. Koral—61161152M. Blejchar—119117113
LJun 9 · 08:00M. Koral—11117272M. Blejchar—991111113
WMay 29 · 13:28M. Koral—1112133M. Blejchar—410110
LMay 29 · 10:00M. Koral—11121091M. Blejchar—91412113
LMay 16 · 17:30M. Koral—6980M. Blejchar—1111113
LMay 16 · 15:00M. Koral—951231M. Blejchar—111110113
WMay 11 · 15:30M. Koral—128118113M. Blejchar—101131162
M. Koral10
WSep 9 · 18:00R. Adam1.837840M. Koral1.831111113LSep 8 · 17:00I. Taichman1.421113811113M. Koral2.6051511982LSep 8 · 16:00P. Hanel1.83821211133M. Koral1.831111109112LSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181LSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral1.731168121I. Taichman2.0091111143WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113WSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald2.6321112882M. Koral1.441191011113WAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113
M. Blejchar10
WSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182WSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350WSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:00P. Varecha2.634460M. Blejchar1.441111113WSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 8 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.613930P. Hanel2.201111113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770WSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181WSep 8 · 14:00P. Hanel1.911111481M. Blejchar1.8061311113LSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110
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