TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091834
Played Sep 8Finished
Pavel Varecha
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411411611––––
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:37 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePavel Varecha to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Varecha above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 47 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Pavel Varecha at 55.8%
47 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Varecha 0–1 Marek Blejchar Pavel Varecha has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:37What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Varecha 1426 vs Blejchar 1559
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varecha 60% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varecha 60% vs Blejchar 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Varecha +1 · Blejchar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarecha 2.63 / Blejchar 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Blejchar)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091834
Varecha2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back27% 8 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Blejchar1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 93 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 58 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVarecha0wins
AwayBlejchar1wins
Blejchar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVarechaBlejcharV − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match30.042.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarechaBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 219 vs 320 / 66451.1%48.2%112 / 219 vs 320 / 664Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharVarecha 2.63/Blejchar 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 29 · 14:30P. Varecha—118741M. Blejchar—91111113
P. Varecha10
WSep 8 · 18:00V. Bosak1.6111711382P. Varecha2.20711711113LSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113WSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WSep 1 · 09:29P. Varecha2.1011711113F. Zurek1.67511681LSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471WSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek1.449480P. Varecha2.631111113LAug 29 · 16:59P. Varecha1.36115461V. Bosak3.0051111113
M. Blejchar10
WSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 8 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.613930P. Hanel2.201111113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770WSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181WSep 8 · 14:00P. Hanel1.911111481M. Blejchar1.8061311113LSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110WSep 7 · 16:30P. Hanel2.10591171M. Blejchar1.6711115113LSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113WSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar2.201114123P. Osvald1.61812100
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