TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119658
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511711116811––
Daniel Priesol
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Daniel Priesol below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 10–2 Daniel Priesol Daniel Priesol has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:34What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Guliak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Guliak
Wrong
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1434 vs Priesol 1391
Guliak
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 20% vs Priesol 40%
Priesol
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 10% vs Priesol 60%
Priesol
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak +1 · Priesol -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Guliak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 1.33 / Priesol 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Guliak)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119658
Guliak1.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 52 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Priesol3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak8wins
AwayPriesol2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGuliak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak85.7%6 of 7
AwayPriesol33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak7Priesol3n = 10Guliak took 7 of 10
S2Guliak5Priesol5n = 10split evenly
S3Guliak8Priesol2n = 10Guliak took 8 of 10
S4Guliak3Priesol2n = 5Guliak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakPriesolG − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.231.3+5.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakPriesolBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 686 vs 241 / 46649.7%51.7%341 / 686 vs 241 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 1.33/Priesol 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.3%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Priesol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 06:30R. Guliak331111113D. Priesol172870
WJul 19 · 08:58R. Guliak4361111153D. Priesol381186131
LJul 19 · 08:30R. Guliak246990D. Priesol331111113
WJul 18 · 11:30R. Guliak341112113D. Priesol2891090
WJun 27 · 17:00R. Guliak3811511113D. Priesol34711971
LJun 27 · 14:00R. Guliak371191161D. Priesol4271113113
WJun 27 · 12:30R. Guliak46117116113D. Priesol4691181172
WJun 26 · 17:30R. Guliak331111113D. Priesol206590
WJun 26 · 16:30R. Guliak50981111113D. Priesol2911111152
WJun 14 · 06:30R. Guliak341211113D. Priesol2610880
R. Guliak10
WSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:00R. Guliak1.531011781T. Hrabec2.3812511113LSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090LSep 9 · 20:30M. Koral1.4411811113R. Guliak2.63811591LSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182LSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992LSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113
D. Priesol10
LSep 13 · 11:00T. Hrabec1.5311115113D. Priesol2.38691191WSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191LSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113LSep 12 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka1.731111113113D. Priesol2.0015131162WSep 12 · 11:00A. Schneeberger2.501167101D. Priesol1.5051111123WSep 12 · 10:30D. Priesol1.73411116113D. Kolek2.0011641132LSep 11 · 17:30D. Priesol1.52116691J. Peter2.3561111113WSep 11 · 16:30D. Priesol1.57111011113A. Schneeberger2.25912571WSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:00P. Kalvar1.737590D. Priesol2.001111113
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