TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115262
Played Sep 12Finished
Radim Kvasnicka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1111151113311116
Daniel Priesol
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Kvasnicka to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Kvasnicka above · Daniel Priesol below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 83 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Radim Kvasnicka at 54.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Radim Kvasnicka 9–12 Daniel Priesol Radim Kvasnicka has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kvasnicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Priesol
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kvasnicka 1449 vs Priesol 1394
Kvasnicka
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvasnicka 80% vs Priesol 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvasnicka 70% vs Priesol 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvasnicka +4 · Priesol +2
Kvasnicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kvasnicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priesol form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvasnicka 1.73 / Priesol 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115262
Kvasnicka1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 26 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Priesol2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 47 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKvasnicka5wins
AwayPriesol5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKvasnicka50%3 of 6
AwayPriesol50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kvasnicka6Priesol4n = 10Kvasnicka took 6 of 10
S2Kvasnicka5Priesol5n = 10split evenly
S3Kvasnicka5Priesol5n = 10split evenly
S4Kvasnicka3Priesol5n = 8Priesol took 5 of 8
S5Kvasnicka2Priesol2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKvasnickaPriesolK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.838.1+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvasnickaPriesolBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 109 vs 241 / 46453.2%51.9%58 / 109 vs 241 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaKvasnicka 1.73/Priesol 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kvasnicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 17:01R. Kvasnicka48611119113D. Priesol4111561182
LAug 15 · 16:30R. Kvasnicka34116891D. Priesol4181111113
WJul 18 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka4011513113D. Priesol326111141
WJul 11 · 18:00R. Kvasnicka4311118133D. Priesol338311111
LJul 10 · 20:59R. Kvasnicka237790D. Priesol331111113
WJul 10 · 18:30R. Kvasnicka52911911123D. Priesol50119119102
LMay 22 · 20:30R. Kvasnicka419811131D. Priesol4011113153
LApr 22 · 18:00R. Kvasnicka481110111062D. Priesol45712312113
WApr 13 · 21:15R. Kvasnicka331111113D. Priesol167630
LApr 13 · 19:00R. Kvasnicka46111111942D. Priesol50871311113
R. Kvasnicka10
WSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113LSep 12 · 11:30D. Kolek2.63111148113R. Kvasnicka1.4499111172WSep 12 · 10:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111488113A. Schneeberger2.50112111142WAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102WAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113WAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332LAug 30 · 06:30F. Zurek2.2511311113R. Kvasnicka1.57911691WAug 29 · 09:07R. Kvasnicka2.00611716113M. Kolek1.73118111432WAug 29 · 08:30M. Kolek2.63119911112R. Kvasnicka1.44711117133LAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113
D. Priesol10
LSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113WSep 12 · 11:00A. Schneeberger2.501167101D. Priesol1.5051111123WSep 12 · 10:30D. Priesol1.73411116113D. Kolek2.0011641132LSep 11 · 17:30D. Priesol1.52116691J. Peter2.3561111113WSep 11 · 16:30D. Priesol1.57111011113A. Schneeberger2.25912571WSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:00P. Kalvar1.737590D. Priesol2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113
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