TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115040
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Priesol
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411116114611113
Dalibor Kolek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Priesol above · Dalibor Kolek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 78 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Priesol 0–1 Dalibor Kolek Daniel Priesol has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Priesol
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Priesol 1378 vs Kolek 1277
Priesol
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priesol 80% vs Kolek 60%
Priesol
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priesol 70% vs Kolek 40%
Priesol
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priesol -1 · Kolek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priesol)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priesol form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriesol 1.73 / Kolek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Priesol)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115040
Priesol1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 65 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Kolek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog18% won 2 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePriesol0wins
AwayKolek1wins
Kolek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPriesolKolekP − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match38.045.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriesolKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 464 vs 11 / 3251.7%34.4%240 / 464 vs 11 / 32Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriesolPriesol 1.73/Kolek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Priesol · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Priesol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LDec 24 · 20:00D. Priesol—13411101D. Kolek—15117123
D. Priesol10
LSep 11 · 17:30D. Priesol1.52116691J. Peter2.3561111113WSep 11 · 16:30D. Priesol1.57111011113A. Schneeberger2.25912571WSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:00P. Kalvar1.737590D. Priesol2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113
D. Kolek10
LAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690LAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113WAug 28 · 18:30D. Kolek1.80101111123D. Tyn1.911247101WAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143LAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113LAug 15 · 15:30M. Levicky1.801112103D. Kolek1.9161090LAug 15 · 14:00D. Kolek2.1061170M. Kolek1.671113113LAug 14 · 21:30M. Kolek1.731111113D. Kolek2.008750WAug 14 · 20:00D. Kolek1.8311126113J. Peter1.838101191
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