TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13116042
Played Sep 11Finished
Daniel Priesol
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116611611911––
Jaroslav Peter
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:05 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Priesol above · Jaroslav Peter below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-9
Point 68 set 4, 8-9 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 56.9%
68 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Daniel Priesol 1–0 Jaroslav Peter Jaroslav Peter has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Priesol beat Peter 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Priesol
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Priesol 1390 vs Peter 1370
Priesol
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priesol 100% vs Peter 60%
Priesol
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priesol 70% vs Peter 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priesol +5 · Peter -2
Priesol
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Priesol) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peter form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriesol 1.52 / Peter 2.35
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Priesol)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13116042
Priesol1.52
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it73% 45 of 62
Peter2.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 9 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePriesol1wins
AwayPeter0wins
Priesol leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPriesolPeterPriesol − PeterBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.020.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriesolPeterBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 463 vs 32 / 8751.8%36.8%240 / 463 vs 32 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriesolPriesol 1.52/Peter 2.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Priesol · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Peter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol—1111123J. Peter—28100
D. Priesol10
WSep 11 · 16:30D. Priesol1.57111011113A. Schneeberger2.25912571WSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:00P. Kalvar1.737590D. Priesol2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171
J. Peter10
LSep 11 · 16:00P. Kalvar1.731114811113J. Peter2.00712111362LSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:30J. Peter1.831116113A. Schneeberger1.8391470WAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690WAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:30D. Tyn2.2511114582J. Peter1.57791111113WAug 28 · 18:00J. Peter2.1061111123Z. Zientek1.671178101LAug 15 · 17:28J. Peter2.633101161M. Levicky1.4411127103WAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113WAug 15 · 15:00M. Kolek1.73391181J. Peter2.001111793
Upcoming Matches
D. Priesol
J. Peter
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