TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110703
Played Sep 11Finished
Pavel Kalvar
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11714128111113116
Jaroslav Peter
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Kalvar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Kalvar above · Jaroslav Peter below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 104 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Pavel Kalvar at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kalvar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kalvar 1318 vs Peter 1383
Peter
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kalvar 0% vs Peter 80%
Peter
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kalvar 10% vs Peter 80%
Peter
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kalvar -5 · Peter -1
Kalvar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kalvar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peter form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalvar 1.73 / Peter 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kalvar)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110703
Kalvar1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Peter2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 9 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalvarPeterBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 32 vs 32 / 8640.6%37.2%13 / 32 vs 32 / 86Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalvarKalvar 1.73/Peter 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kalvar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kalvar won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Kalvar10
LSep 11 · 15:30A. Schneeberger2.20861112113P. Kalvar1.61111121072LSep 11 · 14:00P. Kalvar1.737590D. Priesol2.001111113LDec 22 · 10:00R. Vidlicka1.80611711123P. Kalvar1.91115117102LDec 22 · 09:30P. Kalvar1.80571161E. Sionkala1.9111116113LDec 22 · 08:00P. Kalvar1.8051112892J. Stach1.911121011113LDec 22 · 07:00R. Vidlicka2.631111113P. Kalvar1.445650LNov 21 · 18:26D. Mikula1.831411116113P. Kalvar1.8316591192LNov 21 · 17:00D. Mikula1.91138611113P. Kalvar1.80111111472WNov 21 · 16:00R. Vidlicka1.832520P. Kalvar1.831111113LNov 21 · 15:30P. Kalvar1.67119971T. Hrabec2.1041111103
J. Peter10
LSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:30J. Peter1.831116113A. Schneeberger1.8391470WAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690WAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:30D. Tyn2.2511114582J. Peter1.57791111113WAug 28 · 18:00J. Peter2.1061111123Z. Zientek1.671178101LAug 15 · 17:28J. Peter2.633101161M. Levicky1.4411127103WAug 15 · 16:00D. Kolek1.73121060J. Peter2.001412113WAug 15 · 15:00M. Kolek1.73391181J. Peter2.001111793WAug 15 · 14:30J. Peter2.631061111113M. Levicky1.4412118782
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.