TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110694
Played Sep 11Finished
Pavel Kalvar
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511911––––
Daniel Priesol
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Kalvar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Kalvar above · Daniel Priesol below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Pavel Kalvar at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:23What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kalvar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kalvar 1366 vs Priesol 1330
Kalvar
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kalvar 0% vs Priesol 60%
Priesol
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kalvar 30% vs Priesol 50%
Priesol
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kalvar -5 · Priesol +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kalvar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalvar form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalvar 1.73 / Priesol 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kalvar)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110694
Kalvar1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Priesol2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalvarPriesolBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 32 vs 240 / 46440.6%51.7%13 / 32 vs 240 / 464Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalvarKalvar 1.73/Priesol 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kalvar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Priesol won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Kalvar10
LDec 22 · 10:00R. Vidlicka1.80611711123P. Kalvar1.91115117102LDec 22 · 09:30P. Kalvar1.80571161E. Sionkala1.9111116113LDec 22 · 08:00P. Kalvar1.8051112892J. Stach1.911121011113LDec 22 · 07:00R. Vidlicka2.631111113P. Kalvar1.445650LNov 21 · 18:26D. Mikula1.831411116113P. Kalvar1.8316591192LNov 21 · 17:00D. Mikula1.91138611113P. Kalvar1.80111111472WNov 21 · 16:00R. Vidlicka1.832520P. Kalvar1.831111113LNov 21 · 15:30P. Kalvar1.67119971T. Hrabec2.1041111103WOct 17 · 21:00P. Kalvar1.531111113R. Guliak2.383850WOct 17 · 20:30R. Guliak2.10118130P. Kalvar1.671311153
D. Priesol10
WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113LAug 30 · 02:59D. Priesol1.73781161L. Sulava2.0011119113WAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142
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