TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119656
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Hrabec
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119511119––
Daniel Priesol
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Hrabec above · Daniel Priesol below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hrabec 11–6 Daniel Priesol Daniel Priesol has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hrabec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Hrabec
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1409 vs Priesol 1412
Priesol
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Priesol 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 50% vs Priesol 70%
Priesol
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec +1 · Priesol +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priesol form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 1.53 / Priesol 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hrabec)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13119656
Hrabec1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 32 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it84% 26 of 31
Priesol2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabec6wins
AwayPriesol4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHrabec leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabec100%4 of 4
AwayPriesol66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabec4Priesol6n = 10Priesol took 6 of 10
S2Hrabec5Priesol5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrabec8Priesol2n = 10Hrabec took 8 of 10
S4Hrabec5Priesol3n = 8Hrabec took 5 of 8
S5Hrabec3Priesol3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabecPriesolH − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.341.1+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecPriesolBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 225 vs 241 / 46552.9%51.8%119 / 225 vs 241 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecHrabec 1.53/Priesol 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 09:30T. Hrabec47107111182D. Priesol52121199113
WAug 23 · 06:30T. Hrabec361411113D. Priesol2912980
WAug 15 · 14:30T. Hrabec511110811113D. Priesol3831211662
WAug 8 · 08:00T. Hrabec351111133D. Priesol2247110
WAug 1 · 17:29T. Hrabec521012116133D. Priesol481210411112
LAug 1 · 14:00T. Hrabec4561191182D. Priesol49119117113
WJul 26 · 10:00T. Hrabec43101111113D. Priesol31126851
LJun 26 · 14:00T. Hrabec561113131182D. Priesol551315115113
LJun 14 · 09:00T. Hrabec3211011101D. Priesol4011125123
WJun 14 · 07:30T. Hrabec46119114113D. Priesol4791191172
T. Hrabec10
WSep 13 · 10:00R. Guliak1.531011781T. Hrabec2.3812511113LSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152WSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892LSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123WSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183LAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830LAug 29 · 08:00T. Hrabec2.20311671F. Zurek1.6111911113WAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hrabec2.00116911113M. Kolek1.7381111752LAug 23 · 09:30T. Hrabec1.44107111182D. Priesol2.63121199113
D. Priesol10
WSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191LSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113LSep 12 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka1.731111113113D. Priesol2.0015131162WSep 12 · 11:00A. Schneeberger2.501167101D. Priesol1.5051111123WSep 12 · 10:30D. Priesol1.73411116113D. Kolek2.0011641132LSep 11 · 17:30D. Priesol1.52116691J. Peter2.3561111113WSep 11 · 16:30D. Priesol1.57111011113A. Schneeberger2.25912571WSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:00P. Kalvar1.737590D. Priesol2.001111113WAug 23 · 09:30T. Hrabec1.44107111182D. Priesol2.63121199113
Upcoming Matches
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