TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120698
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Hrabec
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181210––––
Zbynek Zientek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hrabec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hrabec above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 58 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Hrabec at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hrabec 2–3 Zbynek Zientek Tomas Hrabec has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hrabec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1430 vs Zientek 1330
Hrabec
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Zientek 40%
Hrabec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 60% vs Zientek 30%
Hrabec
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec +2 · Zientek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrabec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zientek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 1.80 / Zientek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrabec)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120698
Hrabec1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 32 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it84% 26 of 31
Zientek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 84 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back34% 31 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back19% 9 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHrabec2wins
AwayZientek3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderZientek leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabec50%2 of 4
AwayZientekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabec4Zientek1n = 5Hrabec took 4 of 5
S2Hrabec1Zientek4n = 5Zientek took 4 of 5
S3Hrabec2Zientek3n = 5Zientek took 3 of 5
S4Hrabec3Zientek1n = 4Hrabec took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricHrabecZientekH − ZBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match35.040.8−5.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 226 vs 191 / 38953.1%49.1%120 / 226 vs 191 / 389Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecHrabec 1.80/Zientek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 26 · 13:30T. Hrabec3411841102Z. Zientek47811116113
LJul 26 · 11:30T. Hrabec2241080Z. Zientek341112113
WMay 10 · 07:30T. Hrabec3813112123Z. Zientek4111911101
LDec 15 · 17:57T. Hrabec4011911812Z. Zientek45511711113
WDec 15 · 17:30T. Hrabec4111811113Z. Zientek37911891
T. Hrabec10
WSep 13 · 11:00T. Hrabec1.5311115113D. Priesol2.38691191WSep 13 · 10:00R. Guliak1.531011781T. Hrabec2.3812511113LSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152WSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892LSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123WSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183LAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830LAug 29 · 08:00T. Hrabec2.20311671F. Zurek1.6111911113WAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hrabec2.00116911113M. Kolek1.7381111752
Z. Zientek10
LSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282
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