TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129738
Played Sep 15Finished
David Mikula
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711811115114
Vojtech Kocian
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Mikula to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Vojtech Kocian below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 85 set 5, 11-4 — our read held David Mikula at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 1–0 Vojtech Kocian Vojtech Kocian has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:31What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mikula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1249 vs Kocian 1324
Kocian
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 0% vs Kocian 40%
Kocian
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 10% vs Kocian 50%
Kocian
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -5 · Kocian -1
Mikula
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mikula)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikula form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.67 / Kocian 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mikula)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13129738
Mikula1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 37 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Kocian2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 13 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMikula1wins
AwayKocian0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMikula leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMikulaKocianM − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.037.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaKocianBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 359 vs 88 / 17046.2%51.8%166 / 359 vs 88 / 170Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikulaMikula 1.67/Kocian 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mikula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mikula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 15 · 06:00D. Mikula48117811113V. Kocian3761111542
D. Mikula10
LSep 9 · 09:00J. Stach1.70131212113D. Mikula2.0011101491LSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113LSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113LSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123
V. Kocian10
WSep 15 · 07:00V. Kocian1.80811611113Z. Zientek1.9111711662LSep 10 · 13:30D. Tyn1.851111123V. Kocian1.8556100WSep 10 · 12:00V. Kocian1.7311118113M. Levicky2.00981181WSep 10 · 11:30M. Kaspar2.639690V. Kocian1.441111113LSep 10 · 10:00V. Kocian1.759129101D. Tyn1.85111011123LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kocian1.57115891D. Tyn2.2591111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133
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