TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126089
Played Sep 14Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1157111181311––
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 77 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 70.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 70–20 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 20 of their 90 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-20 in 90
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 50 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1626 vs Kurylenko 1450
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 60% vs Kurylenko 40%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 40% vs Kurylenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +2 · Kurylenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.33 / Kurylenko 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126089
Hubenko1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 237 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it94% 118 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it83% 166 of 199
Kurylenko3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 67 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back17% 23 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko9wins
AwayKurylenko1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko100%5 of 5
AwayKurylenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko8Kurylenko2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S3Hubenko8Kurylenko2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S4Hubenko4Kurylenko2n = 6Hubenko took 4 of 6
S5Hubenko3Kurylenko0n = 3Hubenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoKurylenkoH − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.534.8+6.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime555 / 1046 vs 491 / 99553.1%49.4%555 / 1046 vs 491 / 995Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.33/Kurylenko 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:00M. Hubenko48811126113O. Kurylenko47119101162
WAug 31 · 08:00M. Hubenko371211143O. Kurylenko26104120
WAug 25 · 07:00M. Hubenko49791111113O. Kurylenko4611116992
WAug 21 · 07:00M. Hubenko351311113O. Kurylenko2811980
LAug 19 · 09:30M. Hubenko37691391O. Kurylenko44111111113
WAug 17 · 07:00M. Hubenko331111113O. Kurylenko249960
WAug 13 · 11:30M. Hubenko4371411113O. Kurylenko351112661
WAug 11 · 07:00M. Hubenko539111111113O. Kurylenko4111413582
WAug 5 · 09:00M. Hubenko4612118153O. Kurylenko3710311131
WAug 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko341211113O. Kurylenko2010550
M. Hubenko10
WSep 14 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.531111163S. Maliuk2.3889140WSep 14 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.53111197113O. Syksa2.3874111182LSep 13 · 17:04S. Aristarkhov1.8311911113M. Hubenko1.83411971LSep 13 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.8381181172S. Aristarkhov1.83116115113WSep 13 · 15:00D. Prylepa2.50341161M. Hubenko1.501111862LSep 13 · 14:00A. Vasylets2.5011611793M. Hubenko1.5051161172WSep 13 · 12:30O. Syksa2.63137413102M. Hubenko1.4411111111113LSep 11 · 16:30M. Hubenko2.753220R. Ivanov1.401111113LSep 11 · 15:30M. Hubenko4.00811691I. Fedoryshyn1.2211911113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Hubenko3.2591280A. Kasyanov1.331114113
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 14 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.1011128762O. Syksa1.674101111113WSep 14 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.00711571O. Kurylenko1.7311611113WSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.61114913113O. Lyman2.20811111192LSep 11 · 09:30S. Maliuk1.911111113O. Kurylenko1.807870LSep 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.911181112113O. Kurylenko1.80131191062WSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.001381113163O. Syksa1.731111315142LSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko1.911311113O. Kurylenko1.8011770LSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113WSep 10 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko2.635111031O. Kurylenko1.4411612113LSep 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.731010131192S. Maliuk2.001212119113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.