TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126049
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1141210811711611
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:46 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 59.4%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 64–87 Oleksandr Syksa Oleh Kurylenko has won 64 of their 151 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-87 in 151
Syksa
Correct
gap of 23 in 151, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1457 vs Syksa 1597
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 60% vs Syksa 40%
Kurylenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 40% vs Syksa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko +2 · Syksa -3
Syksa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 2.10 / Syksa 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Syksa)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126049
Kurylenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 67 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back17% 23 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 82
Syksa1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 240 of 350
Up 2–0, closes it94% 97 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it82% 161 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko6wins
AwaySyksa4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko100%4 of 4
AwaySyksa66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S2Kurylenko6Syksa4n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S3Kurylenko5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurylenko4Syksa4n = 8split evenly
S5Kurylenko3Syksa2n = 5Kurylenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoSyksaK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.539.9+2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 994 vs 578 / 110449.4%52.4%491 / 994 vs 578 / 1104Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaKurylenko 2.10/Syksa 1.67
Hit
What we said
59.4%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko611381113163O. Syksa541111315142
LSep 10 · 07:00O. Kurylenko29101180O. Syksa361213113
WSep 7 · 09:30O. Kurylenko4111117123O. Syksa357711101
WSep 4 · 07:30O. Kurylenko47116118113O. Syksa4241181182
LSep 2 · 08:00O. Kurylenko4481111862O. Syksa43119111113
WAug 27 · 11:00O. Kurylenko51811811133O. Syksa46119114112
WAug 24 · 07:30O. Kurylenko45111112113O. Syksa37791471
LAug 21 · 11:00O. Kurylenko4491111942O. Syksa50118911113
WAug 18 · 08:00O. Kurylenko4291111113O. Syksa23111471
LAug 17 · 09:00O. Kurylenko217950O. Syksa331111113
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 14 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.00711571O. Kurylenko1.7311611113WSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.61114913113O. Lyman2.20811111192LSep 11 · 09:30S. Maliuk1.911111113O. Kurylenko1.807870LSep 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.911181112113O. Kurylenko1.80131191062WSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.001381113163O. Syksa1.731111315142LSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko1.911311113O. Kurylenko1.8011770LSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113WSep 10 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko2.635111031O. Kurylenko1.4411612113LSep 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.731010131192S. Maliuk2.001212119113LSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180
O. Syksa10
LSep 14 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.53111197113O. Syksa2.3874111182LSep 13 · 17:35O. Syksa1.83171151A. Vasylets1.8311119113LSep 13 · 15:30A. Vasylets1.911111811113O. Syksa1.8061311332WSep 13 · 14:30O. Syksa2.0011112113S. Aristarkhov1.73981191WSep 13 · 13:30D. Prylepa2.63861151O. Syksa1.4411117113LSep 13 · 12:30O. Syksa2.63137413102M. Hubenko1.4411111111113LSep 11 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.1091111133O. Syksa1.671159111WSep 11 · 10:00O. Lyman4.501196101O. Syksa1.1771111123LSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.001381113163O. Syksa1.731111315142WSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180
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