TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126098
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116511711––
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 66–95 Oleh Kurylenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 66 of their 161 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:03What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kurylenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-95 in 161
Kurylenko
Correct
gap of 29 in 161, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1593 vs Kurylenko 1440
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 100% vs Kurylenko 40%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 60% vs Kurylenko 30%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +5 · Kurylenko +1
Kuzmenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 2.00 / Kurylenko 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13126098
Kuzmenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 104 of 305
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 108
Kurylenko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 156 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it89% 72 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it80% 109 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko6wins
AwayKurylenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko80%4 of 5
AwayKurylenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmenko6Kurylenko4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko4Kurylenko3n = 7Kuzmenko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoKurylenkoKuzmenko − KurylenkoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.737.3−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 916 vs 492 / 99841.4%49.3%379 / 916 vs 492 / 998Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 2.00/Kurylenko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko351311113O. Kurylenko2511770
LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko185670O. Kurylenko331111113
WSep 3 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko42511113123O. Kurylenko48119711102
LSep 2 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko142930O. Kurylenko331111113
WAug 27 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko3711114113O. Kurylenko30391171
WAug 25 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko3611110143O. Kurylenko399711121
LAug 24 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko511112117102O. Kurylenko53914711123
WAug 21 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko4071111113O. Kurylenko28114941
WAug 18 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko4311812123O. Kurylenko3871110101
LAug 17 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko4111111181O. Kurylenko4613139113
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 11 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.1091111133O. Syksa1.671159111WSep 11 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.009930D. Kuzmenko1.731111113WSep 11 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.3011119113O. Lyman3.40861151WSep 11 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.91610100D. Kuzmenko1.801112123WSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko1.911311113O. Kurylenko1.8011770LSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113LSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.61114913113O. Lyman2.20811111192LSep 11 · 09:30S. Maliuk1.911111113O. Kurylenko1.807870LSep 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.911181112113O. Kurylenko1.80131191062WSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.001381113163O. Syksa1.731111315142LSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko1.911311113O. Kurylenko1.8011770LSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113WSep 10 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko2.635111031O. Kurylenko1.4411612113LSep 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.731010131192S. Maliuk2.001212119113LSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180LSep 10 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.61611171O. Lyman2.2011116113
Upcoming Matches
D. Kuzmenko
O. Kurylenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.