TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126080
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131513911117113
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 104 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 59.2%
104 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 57–28 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 28 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:54What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
57-28 in 85
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 29 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1503 vs Kuzmenko 1563
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Kuzmenko 80%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 30% vs Kuzmenko 50%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +1 · Kuzmenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.53 / Kuzmenko 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Prylepa)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126080
Prylepa1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 129 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it98% 63 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it86% 104 of 121
Kuzmenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 104 of 305
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa6wins
AwayKuzmenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa100%5 of 5
AwayKuzmenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Prylepa4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa6Kuzmenko4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa3Kuzmenko2n = 5Prylepa took 3 of 5
S5Prylepa3Kuzmenko1n = 4Prylepa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaKuzmenkoP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.834.5+1.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 806 vs 377 / 91349.3%41.3%397 / 806 vs 377 / 913Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.53/Kuzmenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.2%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 05:00D. Prylepa331111113D. Kuzmenko179710
WAug 18 · 09:30D. Prylepa331111113D. Kuzmenko249960
LAug 16 · 15:00D. Prylepa326511101D. Kuzmenko4211118123
WAug 5 · 09:30D. Prylepa331111113D. Kuzmenko156630
LAug 3 · 06:30D. Prylepa209470D. Kuzmenko331111113
LJul 29 · 10:30D. Prylepa199550D. Kuzmenko331111113
WJul 27 · 07:00D. Prylepa49126911113D. Kuzmenko44101111572
WJul 25 · 16:58D. Prylepa47124119113D. Kuzmenko48101191172
LJul 25 · 14:30D. Prylepa3946111172D. Kuzmenko47111195113
WJul 23 · 08:00D. Prylepa53911913113D. Kuzmenko42114111152
D. Prylepa10
WSep 14 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.7311116113S. Maliuk2.00961171LSep 13 · 16:30A. Vasylets1.7312117113D. Prylepa2.001021141LSep 13 · 15:00D. Prylepa2.50341161M. Hubenko1.501111862LSep 13 · 13:30D. Prylepa2.63861151O. Syksa1.4411117113WSep 13 · 12:00D. Prylepa2.631111123S. Aristarkhov1.4477100WSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113LSep 10 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.10111111113D. Prylepa1.67613861LSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280LSep 10 · 06:30O. Lyman3.25111169113D. Prylepa1.3338111192LSep 10 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251111113D. Prylepa1.339890
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 14 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.00711571O. Kurylenko1.7311611113WSep 11 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.1091111133O. Syksa1.671159111WSep 11 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.009930D. Kuzmenko1.731111113WSep 11 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.3011119113O. Lyman3.40861151WSep 11 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.91610100D. Kuzmenko1.801112123WSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko1.911311113O. Kurylenko1.8011770LSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113LSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.