TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126038
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116611117––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 23–17 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:46What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-17 in 40
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 6 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1476 vs Maliuk 1515
Maliuk
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 20% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -3 · Maliuk +2
Prylepa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.73 / Maliuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prylepa)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126038
Prylepa1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite63% won 129 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it98% 63 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it86% 104 of 121
Maliuk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 83 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa5wins
AwayMaliuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa66.7%4 of 6
AwayMaliuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa6Maliuk4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S2Prylepa4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa4Maliuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Prylepa2Maliuk1n = 3Prylepa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaMaliukP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.039.6−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 806 vs 250 / 50249%49.8%395 / 806 vs 250 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.73/Maliuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 10:00D. Prylepa33613861S. Maliuk44111111113
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa26115551S. Maliuk4291111113
LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa4467111192S. Maliuk47111168113
WAug 20 · 07:00D. Prylepa3951111123S. Maliuk391199101
WAug 18 · 08:30D. Prylepa47115119113S. Maliuk4371151192
LAug 13 · 11:00D. Prylepa206590S. Maliuk331111113
WAug 12 · 08:30D. Prylepa481110511113S. Maliuk4891211882
WAug 5 · 05:00D. Prylepa361111143S. Maliuk2677120
WJul 29 · 09:30D. Prylepa3811115113S. Maliuk35981171
LJul 21 · 10:30D. Prylepa29116661S. Maliuk3961111113
D. Prylepa10
LSep 13 · 16:30A. Vasylets1.7312117113D. Prylepa2.001021141LSep 13 · 15:00D. Prylepa2.50341161M. Hubenko1.501111862LSep 13 · 13:30D. Prylepa2.63861151O. Syksa1.4411117113WSep 13 · 12:00D. Prylepa2.631111123S. Aristarkhov1.4477100WSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113LSep 10 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.10111111113D. Prylepa1.67613861LSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280LSep 10 · 06:30O. Lyman3.25111169113D. Prylepa1.3338111192LSep 10 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251111113D. Prylepa1.339890LSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113
S. Maliuk10
WSep 11 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.83791141S. Maliuk1.8311118113WSep 11 · 09:30S. Maliuk1.911111113O. Kurylenko1.807870LSep 11 · 08:30S. Maliuk2.101281111102O. Syksa1.671011713123LSep 11 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.91610100D. Kuzmenko1.801112123WSep 11 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.501111113O. Lyman2.509650LSep 10 · 11:30O. Lyman2.50911117113S. Maliuk1.5011991182WSep 10 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.10111111113D. Prylepa1.67613861WSep 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.731010131192S. Maliuk2.001212119113WSep 10 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko2.751139121S. Maliuk1.4091111143LSep 10 · 05:00O. Syksa1.6111119143S. Maliuk2.209711121
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