TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13124167
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukas Svoboda
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811511––––
David Gasparovic
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingLukas Svoboda above · David Gasparovic below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 59 set 3, 5-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Svoboda 0–1 David Gasparovic Lukas Svoboda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Gasparovic beat Svoboda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Gasparovic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.75 / Gasparovic 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Gasparovic)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13124167
Svoboda2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 16 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Gasparovic1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 49 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSvoboda0wins
AwayGasparovic1wins
Gasparovic leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSvobodaGasparovicS − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match32.044.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaGasparovicBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 170 vs 108 / 18045.3%60%77 / 170 vs 108 / 180Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicSvoboda 2.75/Gasparovic 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gasparovic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 13 · 07:45L. Svoboda321111821D. Gasparovic4413911113
L. Svoboda10
LSep 13 · 07:45D. Gasparovic1.8013911113L. Svoboda1.911111821WSep 13 · 06:45J. Chalupa1.531131261L. Svoboda2.3891114113WSep 13 · 05:15O. Kaderabek1.5051120L. Svoboda2.501113113WSep 12 · 12:46M. Makara1.8312940L. Svoboda1.831411113LSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113WSep 12 · 10:15A. Snr1.838960L. Svoboda1.831111113WSep 12 · 09:45V. Burylov1.9110590L. Svoboda1.801211103LSep 11 · 08:13L. Dobias1.6111117133L. Svoboda2.207911111LSep 11 · 07:15M. Stibor1.801111114123L. Svoboda1.91813511102LSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113
D. Gasparovic10
WSep 13 · 07:45D. Gasparovic1.8013911113L. Svoboda1.911111821WSep 13 · 06:15O. Kaderabek1.918580D. Gasparovic1.801111113LSep 13 · 05:45J. Chalupa1.80611511113D. Gasparovic1.9111611882WSep 12 · 20:45M. Makara1.8341010D. Gasparovic1.831112113WSep 12 · 19:15D. Gasparovic1.83111012113J. Sr1.838121061WSep 12 · 18:15D. Gasparovic2.2011115113Z. Sedivy1.61751151LSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113LSep 11 · 16:54L. Adam2.2071111123D. Gasparovic1.611188101WSep 11 · 15:15A. Snr2.758115131D. Gasparovic1.4011711153WSep 11 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.44111211113M. Makara2.63614451
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.