TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121987
Played Sep 13Finished
David Gasparovic
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311911118112––
Lukas Svoboda
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Gasparovic to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Gasparovic above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 76 set 4, 11-2 — our read held David Gasparovic at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gasparovic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Gasparovic 1716 vs Svoboda 1726
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasparovic 80% vs Svoboda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasparovic 60% vs Svoboda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasparovic +1 · Svoboda +3
Svoboda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gasparovic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasparovic 1.80 / Svoboda 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gasparovic)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13121987
Gasparovic1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 49 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Svoboda1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 16 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasparovicSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 179 vs 77 / 16959.8%45.6%107 / 179 vs 77 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicGasparovic 1.80/Svoboda 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gasparovic won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Gasparovic10
WSep 13 · 08:54L. Svoboda2.7511850D. Gasparovic1.401311113WSep 13 · 06:15O. Kaderabek1.918580D. Gasparovic1.801111113LSep 13 · 05:45J. Chalupa1.80611511113D. Gasparovic1.9111611882WSep 12 · 20:45M. Makara1.8341010D. Gasparovic1.831112113WSep 12 · 19:15D. Gasparovic1.83111012113J. Sr1.838121061WSep 12 · 18:15D. Gasparovic2.2011115113Z. Sedivy1.61751151LSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113LSep 11 · 16:54L. Adam2.2071111123D. Gasparovic1.611188101WSep 11 · 15:15A. Snr2.758115131D. Gasparovic1.4011711153WSep 11 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.44111211113M. Makara2.63614451
L. Svoboda10
LSep 13 · 08:54L. Svoboda2.7511850D. Gasparovic1.401311113WSep 13 · 06:45J. Chalupa1.531131261L. Svoboda2.3891114113WSep 13 · 05:15O. Kaderabek1.5051120L. Svoboda2.501113113WSep 12 · 12:46M. Makara1.8312940L. Svoboda1.831411113LSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113WSep 12 · 10:15A. Snr1.838960L. Svoboda1.831111113WSep 12 · 09:45V. Burylov1.9110590L. Svoboda1.801211103LSep 11 · 08:13L. Dobias1.6111117133L. Svoboda2.207911111LSep 11 · 07:15M. Stibor1.801111114123L. Svoboda1.91813511102LSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113
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