TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122593
Played Sep 13Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1169111171012115
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Oleksandr Shkurupii below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 93 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 65.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 8–6 Oleksandr Shkurupii Oleksandr Shkurupii has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hohenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Hohenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1773 vs Shkurupii 1615
Hohenko
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 60% vs Shkurupii 20%
Hohenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 70% vs Shkurupii 10%
Hohenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko -1 · Shkurupii -4
Shkurupii
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hohenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 1.50 / Shkurupii 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Hohenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13122593
Hohenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Shkurupii2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 32 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHohenko6wins
AwayShkurupii4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHohenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHohenko100%6 of 6
AwayShkurupii100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hohenko6Shkurupii4n = 10Hohenko took 6 of 10
S2Hohenko5Shkurupii5n = 10split evenly
S3Hohenko8Shkurupii2n = 10Hohenko took 8 of 10
S4Hohenko2Shkurupii5n = 7Shkurupii took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHohenkoShkurupiiH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.5+3.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoShkurupiiBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 56 vs 358 / 74153.6%48.3%30 / 56 vs 358 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoHohenko 1.50/Shkurupii 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:30S. Hohenko521191110113O. Shkurupii4161171252
LSep 12 · 15:00S. Hohenko335711101O. Shkurupii3811114123
WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko351211123O. Shkurupii27107100
WAug 30 · 06:00S. Hohenko331111113O. Shkurupii227780
LAug 29 · 16:00S. Hohenko333812101O. Shkurupii44111110123
WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko361311123O. Shkurupii24113100
LAug 16 · 08:30S. Hohenko377111181O. Shkurupii4011513113
WAug 16 · 06:00S. Hohenko49151112113O. Shkurupii4413131081
WAug 15 · 16:00S. Hohenko43111011113O. Shkurupii30512851
LAug 15 · 13:30S. Hohenko36614881O. Shkurupii45111211113
S. Hohenko10
LSep 13 · 05:30S. Hohenko3.503970O. Zhurba1.281111113WSep 13 · 04:30S. Hohenko1.5011113113D. Neborak2.50451151WSep 12 · 16:30O. Zhurba1.22117691S. Hohenko4.004111192LSep 12 · 15:00S. Hohenko1.445711101O. Shkurupii2.6311114123WAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100WAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182LAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113
O. Shkurupii10
LSep 13 · 06:00O. Shkurupii1.61119101142D. Neborak2.20811123113LSep 13 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.50451161O. Zhurba1.2811117113LSep 12 · 17:21A. Tur2.6396111363O. Shkurupii1.44111191132LSep 12 · 16:00O. Shkurupii1.73851151A. Tur2.0011118113WSep 12 · 15:00S. Hohenko1.445711101O. Shkurupii2.6311114123LSep 12 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.301111113O. Shkurupii3.406660LSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak2.251111123O. Shkurupii1.5774110LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113
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