TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121197
Played Sep 12Finished
Anton Tur
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911611119131163
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAnton Tur above · Oleksandr Shkurupii below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 6-3
Point 82 set 5, 6-3
82 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Anton Tur 35–43 Oleksandr Shkurupii Anton Tur has won 35 of their 78 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Tur beat Shkurupii 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Shkurupii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTur 2.63 / Shkurupii 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Shkurupii)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13121197
Tur2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Shkurupii1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 70 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it73% 55 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTur4wins
AwayShkurupii6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShkurupii leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTur75%3 of 4
AwayShkurupii83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tur4Shkurupii6n = 10Shkurupii took 6 of 10
S2Tur3Shkurupii7n = 10Shkurupii took 7 of 10
S3Tur3Shkurupii7n = 10Shkurupii took 7 of 10
S4Tur6Shkurupii0n = 6Tur took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricTurShkurupiiT − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.336.9−1.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTurShkurupiiBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 113 vs 358 / 73753.1%48.6%60 / 113 vs 358 / 737Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShkurupiiTur 2.63/Shkurupii 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Shkurupii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tur won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 16:00A. Tur4111118113O. Shkurupii29851151
WApr 13 · 16:00A. Tur4591114113O. Shkurupii371181261
LApr 6 · 17:10A. Tur4711791192O. Shkurupii42311116113
LApr 6 · 12:30A. Tur228680O. Shkurupii331111113
LMar 9 · 16:30A. Tur4594121192O. Shkurupii491111106113
LMar 2 · 16:30A. Tur2771190O. Shkurupii351113113
LFeb 25 · 17:00A. Tur209560O. Shkurupii331111113
LFeb 25 · 14:30A. Tur2511950O. Shkurupii351311113
WFeb 17 · 10:30A. Tur3911116113O. Shkurupii36971191
WFeb 10 · 13:00A. Tur4213414113O. Shkurupii4011111261
A. Tur10
WSep 12 · 16:00O. Shkurupii1.73851151A. Tur2.0011118113LSep 12 · 14:30D. Neborak2.2511112A. Tur1.57690LSep 12 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.30471111113A. Tur3.4011115742WJun 24 · 16:00A. Vasylets4.50168491A. Tur1.17141111113WJun 24 · 14:30A. Lushchyk6.001151091A. Tur1.1181112113WJun 24 · 13:00M. Baday3.759770A. Tur1.251111113WJun 24 · 12:00S. Chuhai5.007111191A. Tur1.1411913113WJun 19 · 17:38A. Tur1.4471113113M. Baday2.631151181WJun 19 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn3.754290A. Tur1.251111113WJun 19 · 14:30A. Lushchyk6.00711841A. Tur1.1111711113
O. Shkurupii10
LSep 12 · 16:00O. Shkurupii1.73851151A. Tur2.0011118113WSep 12 · 15:00S. Hohenko1.445711101O. Shkurupii2.6311114123LSep 12 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.301111113O. Shkurupii3.406660LSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak2.251111123O. Shkurupii1.5774110LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.