TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122042
Played Sep 13Finished
Alexander Tuzhylin
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611911––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:53 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexander Tuzhylin above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 70.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Tuzhylin 141–72 Yevhen Masko Yevhen Masko has won 72 of their 213 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tuzhylin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
141-72 in 213
Tuzhylin
Wrong
gap of 69 in 213, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuzhylin 1831 vs Masko 1687
Tuzhylin
Wrong
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuzhylin 60% vs Masko 80%
Masko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuzhylin 60% vs Masko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuzhylin -1 · Masko +4
Masko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Tuzhylin) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuzhylin 1.44 / Masko 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122042
Tuzhylin1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 200 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it98% 126 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it89% 148 of 166
Masko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 35 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuzhylin8wins
AwayMasko2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTuzhylin leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuzhylin100%4 of 4
AwayMasko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuzhylin4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S2Tuzhylin8Masko2n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S3Tuzhylin8Masko2n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S4Tuzhylin4Masko1n = 5Tuzhylin took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTuzhylinMaskoT − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.830.8+6.0per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTuzhylinMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime505 / 666 vs 433 / 75875.8%57.1%505 / 666 vs 433 / 758Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinTuzhylin 1.44/Masko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 16:55A. Tuzhylin331111113Y. Masko217860
LSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin31781151Y. Masko3811115113
WSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin351113113Y. Masko2251160
WSep 4 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin4491211123Y. Masko3811107101
LAug 29 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin248880Y. Masko331111113
WAug 28 · 23:25A. Tuzhylin4291111113Y. Masko31119741
WAug 22 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin501211511113Y. Masko4614611962
WAug 15 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin341112113Y. Masko2361070
WAug 15 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin4291111113Y. Masko33118861
WAug 9 · 16:55A. Tuzhylin331111113Y. Masko239860
A. Tuzhylin10
LSep 13 · 18:25V. Melnik2.101111113A. Tuzhylin1.675880WSep 13 · 16:25R. Reznychenko6.005780A. Tuzhylin1.111111113LSep 13 · 15:25A. Tuzhylin1.44611121192R. Cherevko2.63117146113WSep 13 · 14:25E. Pismenniy6.00101340A. Tuzhylin1.11121583WSep 12 · 20:25R. Cherevko3.259880A. Tuzhylin1.331111113LSep 12 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.109680R. Reznychenko6.501111103WSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko3.007860A. Tuzhylin1.361111113WSep 12 · 14:55E. Pismenniy6.0090A. Tuzhylin1.11101WSep 12 · 13:55V. Melnik2.106720A. Tuzhylin1.67111153LSep 12 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.40910100R. Cherevko2.751112123
Y. Masko10
WSep 13 · 18:55Y. Masko1.5712111373R. Cherevko2.251471151WSep 13 · 16:55E. Pismenniy3.256780Y. Masko1.331111113WSep 13 · 14:55R. Reznychenko3.25670Y. Masko1.3311112WSep 13 · 13:55V. Melnik1.6511991192Y. Masko2.05711118113LSep 12 · 19:55Y. Masko1.308111061R. Reznychenko3.4011412113LSep 12 · 17:55E. Pismenniy2.6311127123Y. Masko1.4441011101LSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko3.007860A. Tuzhylin1.361111113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Melnik1.83817110Y. Masko1.831119133LSep 12 · 14:25Y. Masko1.671113971R. Cherevko2.10131111113LSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980
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