TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121880
Played Sep 13Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113811––––
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Shkurupii to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Oleksandr Shkurupii below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 63 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Shkurupii at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 61–132 Oleksandr Shkurupii Dmytro Neborak has won 61 of their 193 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Neborak beat Shkurupii 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:58What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Shkurupii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-132 in 193
Shkurupii
Correct
gap of 71 in 193, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neborak 1698 vs Shkurupii 1608
Neborak
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neborak 40% vs Shkurupii 0%
Neborak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neborak 60% vs Shkurupii 10%
Neborak
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neborak -1 · Shkurupii -5
Shkurupii
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shkurupii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 2.20 / Shkurupii 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shkurupii)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13121880
Neborak2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 113 of 318
Down 0–1, comes back16% 29 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 117
Shkurupii1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 64 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it74% 51 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeborak6wins
AwayShkurupii4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNeborak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeborak100%4 of 4
AwayShkurupii66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neborak4Shkurupii6n = 10Shkurupii took 6 of 10
S2Neborak6Shkurupii4n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S3Neborak6Shkurupii4n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S4Neborak2Shkurupii4n = 6Shkurupii took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeborakShkurupiiN − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.334.9+2.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakShkurupiiBasisWin rate · lifetime304 / 836 vs 358 / 74236.4%48.3%304 / 836 vs 358 / 742Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShkurupiiNeborak 2.20/Shkurupii 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Shkurupii · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shkurupii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:00D. Neborak45811123113O. Shkurupii45119101142
WSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak341111123O. Shkurupii2274110
WAug 30 · 07:30D. Neborak391115133O. Shkurupii25113110
LAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak45101111131O. Shkurupii4812138153
WAug 29 · 15:30D. Neborak50111199103O. Shkurupii3758111122
WAug 29 · 14:30D. Neborak364111383O. Shkurupii321161141
LAug 16 · 09:30D. Neborak316411101O. Shkurupii4111117123
WAug 16 · 04:30D. Neborak43111110113O. Shkurupii33851281
LAug 15 · 15:30D. Neborak2691070O. Shkurupii331112103
LAug 15 · 14:30D. Neborak247890O. Shkurupii331111113
D. Neborak10
LSep 13 · 08:00D. Neborak4.5011411972O. Zhurba1.17911611113LSep 13 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.17111111113D. Neborak4.50136271WSep 13 · 06:00O. Shkurupii1.61119101142D. Neborak2.20811123113LSep 13 · 04:30S. Hohenko1.5011113113D. Neborak2.50451151WSep 12 · 17:37D. Neborak4.501171311113O. Zhurba1.1771115782LSep 12 · 15:30O. Zhurba1.171111113D. Neborak4.507750WSep 12 · 14:30D. Neborak2.2511112A. Tur1.57690WSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak2.251111123O. Shkurupii1.5774110LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992
O. Shkurupii10
LSep 13 · 07:30O. Shkurupii2.508311131S. Hohenko1.5011119153LSep 13 · 06:30S. Hohenko1.501191110113O. Shkurupii2.5061171252LSep 13 · 06:00O. Shkurupii1.61119101142D. Neborak2.20811123113LSep 13 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.50451161O. Zhurba1.2811117113LSep 12 · 17:21A. Tur2.6396111363O. Shkurupii1.44111191132LSep 12 · 16:00O. Shkurupii1.73851151A. Tur2.0011118113WSep 12 · 15:00S. Hohenko1.445711101O. Shkurupii2.6311114123LSep 12 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.301111113O. Shkurupii3.406660LSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak2.251111123O. Shkurupii1.5774110LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380
Upcoming Matches
D. Neborak
O. Shkurupii
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.