TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116627
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711811111114118
Ivan Romaniak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Romaniak to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 83 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Romaniak at 56.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 9–8 Ivan Romaniak Ivan Romaniak has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Romaniak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1565 vs Romaniak 1695
Romaniak
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 40% vs Romaniak 60%
Romaniak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 50% vs Romaniak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo +1 · Romaniak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Romaniak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 2.00 / Romaniak 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Romaniak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116627
Plishylo2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 88 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Romaniak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 60 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 46 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlishylo7wins
AwayRomaniak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlishylo leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylo85.7%6 of 7
AwayRomaniak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo7Romaniak3n = 10Plishylo took 7 of 10
S2Plishylo4Romaniak6n = 10Romaniak took 6 of 10
S3Plishylo8Romaniak2n = 10Plishylo took 8 of 10
S4Plishylo3Romaniak3n = 6split evenly
S5Plishylo2Romaniak1n = 3Plishylo took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlishyloRomaniakP − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.833.3+6.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 650 vs 241 / 52943.9%45.6%285 / 650 vs 241 / 529Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomaniakPlishylo 2.00/Romaniak 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Romaniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Plishylo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 23:30V. Plishylo—9880I. Romaniak—1111113
WJul 3 · 12:35V. Plishylo—7111011113I. Romaniak—11912662
WJul 3 · 24:30V. Plishylo—11611153I. Romaniak—1116131
LJun 27 · 04:35V. Plishylo—9611121I. Romaniak—11111143
WJun 26 · 12:35V. Plishylo—1111113I. Romaniak—7550
LJun 25 · 23:30V. Plishylo—118111192I. Romaniak—411613113
WMay 16 · 08:35V. Plishylo—12311143I. Romaniak—10112121
WMay 15 · 13:35V. Plishylo—1511113I. Romaniak—13990
WMay 15 · 01:00V. Plishylo—117117113I. Romaniak—81161122
WMay 2 · 10:05V. Plishylo—1113113I. Romaniak—61150
V. Plishylo10
WSep 12 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.00141179113N. Kovalchuk1.73128111182LSep 12 · 06:05V. Plishylo2.20481191R. Lazebnyi1.6111116113WSep 12 · 04:35V. Plishylo1.8391411113R. Haiseniuk1.831112981LAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo1.8311114572O. Napirko1.83661111113
I. Romaniak10
LSep 12 · 08:05I. Romaniak1.836790R. Lazebnyi1.831111113WSep 12 · 07:05Y. Kravets2.251112881I. Romaniak1.5761411113LSep 12 · 05:35I. Romaniak1.8012690N. Kovalchuk1.911411113WSep 11 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk2.2029111162I. Romaniak1.6111119673WSep 11 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.9111511782I. Romaniak1.80911511113WSep 11 · 16:05R. Lazebnyi1.8315811652I. Romaniak1.831311311113LSep 11 · 14:05Y. Kravets2.50611116113I. Romaniak1.5011591172WSep 11 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.838970I. Romaniak1.831111113WSep 11 · 03:00D. Shcherbak1.6711148762I. Romaniak2.102121111113LSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113
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