TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115390
Played Sep 12Finished
Ivan Kolenciak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711611––––
Zdenek Luksa
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:26 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeIvan Kolenciak to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Kolenciak above · Zdenek Luksa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Ivan Kolenciak at 54.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kolenciak 7–4 Zdenek Luksa Zdenek Luksa has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:26What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolenciak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Kolenciak
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenciak 1200 vs Luksa 1143
Kolenciak
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenciak 40% vs Luksa 20%
Kolenciak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenciak 50% vs Luksa 30%
Kolenciak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenciak -3 · Luksa +1
Kolenciak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolenciak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Luksa form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenciak 1.73 / Luksa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolenciak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115390
Kolenciak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 26 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it72% 21 of 29
Luksa2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 19 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenciak7wins
AwayLuksa3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKolenciak leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenciak85.7%6 of 7
AwayLuksa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenciak7Luksa3n = 10Kolenciak took 7 of 10
S2Kolenciak4Luksa6n = 10Luksa took 6 of 10
S3Kolenciak6Luksa4n = 10Kolenciak took 6 of 10
S4Kolenciak7Luksa3n = 10Kolenciak took 7 of 10
S5Kolenciak3Luksa3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenciakLuksaK − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.641.7+3.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenciakLuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 186 vs 50 / 10945.7%45.9%85 / 186 vs 50 / 109Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenciakKolenciak 1.73/Luksa 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Kolenciak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Luksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:00I. Kolenciak44361113113Z. Luksa51111191192
LAug 2 · 06:00I. Kolenciak49911111082Z. Luksa45117412113
LMay 16 · 13:00I. Kolenciak51111279122Z. Luksa559101111143
WMay 16 · 12:00I. Kolenciak4211911113Z. Luksa31711761
WMay 13 · 13:29I. Kolenciak491110115123Z. Luksa44812311102
LMay 13 · 11:30I. Kolenciak4571181182Z. Luksa44119112113
WMay 7 · 12:00I. Kolenciak4011711113Z. Luksa30511591
WMay 2 · 07:00I. Kolenciak4211119113Z. Luksa35791181
WMar 29 · 08:00I. Kolenciak4716811123Z. Luksa4114116101
WMar 21 · 10:28I. Kolenciak471110411113Z. Luksa4191211362
I. Kolenciak10
LSep 12 · 15:00I. Kolenciak3.40691161R. Adamczyk1.3011116113LSep 12 · 14:00M. Blaha1.361511113I. Kolenciak3.0013730LSep 9 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.6166111362J. Toth2.201111511113WSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113WSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113WSep 9 · 10:30I. Kolenciak1.53411812113I. Palmi2.38119111072WSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851WSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781LSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113
Z. Luksa10
WSep 12 · 15:30Z. Luksa2.3871112113M. Blaha1.531191071LSep 12 · 14:30R. Adamczyk1.671111113Z. Luksa2.108980LSep 9 · 13:01I. Palmi1.6711912113Z. Luksa2.109111041LSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113LSep 9 · 11:30I. Palmi2.001311113Z. Luksa1.7311960LSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.36411971J. Toth3.0011511113LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791
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