TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099003
Played Sep 9Finished
Zdenek Luksa
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1131169111113911
Ivan Kolenciak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Kolenciak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Luksa above · Ivan Kolenciak below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Kolenciak at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Luksa 4–6 Ivan Kolenciak Zdenek Luksa has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolenciak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Kolenciak
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Luksa 1188 vs Kolenciak 1224
Kolenciak
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Luksa 20% vs Kolenciak 80%
Kolenciak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luksa 50% vs Kolenciak 70%
Kolenciak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Luksa -4 · Kolenciak +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolenciak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenciak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuksa 1.83 / Kolenciak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolenciak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099003
Luksa1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kolenciak1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLuksa4wins
AwayKolenciak6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKolenciak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLuksa100%3 of 3
AwayKolenciak85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Luksa3Kolenciak7n = 10Kolenciak took 7 of 10
S2Luksa6Kolenciak4n = 10Luksa took 6 of 10
S3Luksa5Kolenciak5n = 10split evenly
S4Luksa3Kolenciak6n = 9Kolenciak took 6 of 9
S5Luksa3Kolenciak2n = 5Luksa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLuksaKolenciakL − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.043.3−3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuksaKolenciakBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 105 vs 84 / 18246.7%46.2%49 / 105 vs 84 / 182Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenciakLuksa 1.83/Kolenciak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolenciak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolenciak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 06:00Z. Luksa—117412113I. Kolenciak—911111082
WMay 16 · 13:00Z. Luksa—9101111143I. Kolenciak—111279122
LMay 16 · 12:00Z. Luksa—711761I. Kolenciak—11911113
LMay 13 · 13:29Z. Luksa—812311102I. Kolenciak—1110115123
WMay 13 · 11:30Z. Luksa—119112113I. Kolenciak—71181182
LMay 7 · 12:00Z. Luksa—511591I. Kolenciak—11711113
LMay 2 · 07:00Z. Luksa—791181I. Kolenciak—11119113
LMar 29 · 08:00Z. Luksa—14116101I. Kolenciak—16811123
LMar 21 · 10:28Z. Luksa—91211362I. Kolenciak—1110411113
WMar 21 · 09:30Z. Luksa—1111123I. Kolenciak—56100
Z. Luksa10
LSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.36411971J. Toth3.0011511113LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791WAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113WAug 23 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.8071112762Z. Luksa1.911181011113WAug 23 · 07:00A. Kanak1.75121330Z. Luksa1.851415113LAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113LAug 10 · 08:58J. Toth3.5091111113Z. Luksa1.28117941
I. Kolenciak10
WSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113WSep 9 · 10:30I. Kolenciak1.53411812113I. Palmi2.38119111072WSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851WSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781LSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113WAug 7 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.4021111113I. Palmi2.75118641WAug 7 · 12:00I. Kolenciak1.531111113I. Palmi2.388690LAug 7 · 11:30J. Toth1.911112119113I. Kolenciak1.8051481172WAug 7 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.40131012113J. Foltynek2.7511121081
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