TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098104
Played Sep 9Finished
Ivan Kolenciak
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111198111210117
Ivo Palmi
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Kolenciak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Kolenciak above · Ivo Palmi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Ivan Kolenciak at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kolenciak 9–7 Ivo Palmi Ivo Palmi has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kolenciak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Kolenciak
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenciak 1206 vs Palmi 1110
Kolenciak
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenciak 60% vs Palmi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenciak 60% vs Palmi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenciak +2 · Palmi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kolenciak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palmi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenciak 1.53 / Palmi 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kolenciak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098104
Kolenciak1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 24 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Palmi2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 12 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenciak7wins
AwayPalmi3wins
Kolenciak leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenciak80%4 of 5
AwayPalmi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenciak5Palmi5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolenciak8Palmi2n = 10Kolenciak took 8 of 10
S3Kolenciak8Palmi2n = 10Kolenciak took 8 of 10
S4Kolenciak3Palmi3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenciakPalmiK − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.529.9+5.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenciakPalmiBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 180 vs 53 / 13145.6%40.5%82 / 180 vs 53 / 131Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenciakKolenciak 1.53/Palmi 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Kolenciak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolenciak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 11:30I. Kolenciak—711781I. Palmi—11511113
WAug 7 · 13:30I. Kolenciak—21111113I. Palmi—118641
WAug 7 · 12:00I. Kolenciak—1111113I. Palmi—8690
LJul 17 · 10:00I. Kolenciak—1091181I. Palmi—12117113
WMay 30 · 15:30I. Kolenciak—71111113I. Palmi—118881
WMay 22 · 13:30I. Kolenciak—1111113I. Palmi—8680
WMay 22 · 10:00I. Kolenciak—71111113I. Palmi—119571
LMay 16 · 10:00I. Kolenciak—118991I. Palmi—91111113
WMay 13 · 12:30I. Kolenciak—1111113I. Palmi—4840
WFeb 8 · 17:00I. Kolenciak—1111113I. Palmi—8490
I. Kolenciak10
WSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113WSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113WSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851WSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781LSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113WAug 7 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.4021111113I. Palmi2.75118641WAug 7 · 12:00I. Kolenciak1.531111113I. Palmi2.388690LAug 7 · 11:30J. Toth1.911112119113I. Kolenciak1.8051481172WAug 7 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.40131012113J. Foltynek2.7511121081
I. Palmi10
LSep 9 · 12:30J. Toth2.101110911123I. Palmi1.67612118102LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640LSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781WSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113WAug 26 · 16:58I. Palmi1.531111113J. Foltynek2.383470WAug 26 · 16:30J. Foltynek2.105111191I. Palmi1.6711913113LAug 26 · 15:30I. Palmi1.83611691S. Blabla1.8311811113LAug 7 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.4021111113I. Palmi2.75118641LAug 7 · 12:00I. Kolenciak1.531111113I. Palmi2.388690
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