TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115290
Played Sep 12Finished
Zdenek Luksa
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111191210117––
Michal Blaha
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Blaha to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Luksa above · Michal Blaha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 3-3
Point 66 set 4, 3-3 — our read held Michal Blaha at 62.0%
66 points drawn · the score is 12 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Zdenek Luksa 1–4 Michal Blaha Zdenek Luksa has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Blaha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Blaha
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Luksa 1107 vs Blaha 1230
Blaha
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Luksa 0% vs Blaha 80%
Blaha
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luksa 30% vs Blaha 80%
Blaha
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Luksa -5 · Blaha +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Blaha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blaha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuksa 2.38 / Blaha 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Blaha)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115290
Luksa2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 19 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Blaha1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 31 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLuksa1wins
AwayBlaha4wins
3 of 5 to a deciderBlaha leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLuksan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBlaha100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Luksa2Blaha3n = 5Blaha took 3 of 5
S2Luksa1Blaha4n = 5Blaha took 4 of 5
S3Luksa3Blaha2n = 5Luksa took 3 of 5
S4Luksa3Blaha0n = 3Luksa took 3 of 3
S5Luksa0Blaha3n = 3Blaha took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricLuksaBlahaL − BBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match37.040.6−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuksaBlahaBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 108 vs 97 / 18945.4%51.3%49 / 108 vs 97 / 189Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlahaLuksa 2.38/Blaha 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Blaha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Luksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 27 · 12:00Z. Luksa4711971192M. Blaha51911119113
WMay 1 · 14:30Z. Luksa341111123M. Blaha2082100
LMar 29 · 07:00Z. Luksa195950M. Blaha331111113
LMar 12 · 10:00Z. Luksa4046121172M. Blaha491111106113
LMar 12 · 08:30Z. Luksa45491111102M. Blaha50111197123
Z. Luksa10
LSep 12 · 14:30R. Adamczyk1.671111113Z. Luksa2.108980LSep 9 · 13:01I. Palmi1.6711912113Z. Luksa2.109111041LSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113LSep 9 · 11:30I. Palmi2.001311113Z. Luksa1.7311960LSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.36411971J. Toth3.0011511113LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791WAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113
M. Blaha10
WSep 12 · 14:00M. Blaha1.361511113I. Kolenciak3.0013730WAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462LAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530WAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171WAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192LAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191WAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Luksa
M. Blaha
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