TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114428
Played Sep 12Finished
Radek Adamczyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119118––––
Zdenek Luksa
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:43 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Adamczyk to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Adamczyk above · Zdenek Luksa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Radek Adamczyk at 59.2%
58 points played in total.
H2H Radek Adamczyk 3–3 Zdenek Luksa Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adamczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1238 vs Luksa 1123
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 40% vs Luksa 0%
Adamczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 60% vs Luksa 40%
Adamczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk -1 · Luksa -5
Luksa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Luksa form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.67 / Luksa 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Adamczyk)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114428
Adamczyk1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 20 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Luksa2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 19 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeAdamczyk3wins
AwayLuksa3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk60%3 of 5
AwayLuksan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk5Luksa1n = 6Adamczyk took 5 of 6
S2Adamczyk2Luksa4n = 6Luksa took 4 of 6
S3Adamczyk2Luksa4n = 6Luksa took 4 of 6
S4Adamczyk3Luksa1n = 4Adamczyk took 3 of 4
S5Adamczyk1Luksa2n = 3Luksa took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricAdamczykLuksaA − LBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match43.841.3+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykLuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 80 vs 49 / 10748.8%45.8%39 / 80 vs 49 / 107Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 1.67/Luksa 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 10 · 07:00R. Adamczyk43111110113Z. Luksa27541261
WAug 9 · 08:30R. Adamczyk531111137113Z. Luksa48513111182
LJul 18 · 19:00R. Adamczyk4311751192Z. Luksa48911116113
WMay 2 · 06:00R. Adamczyk331111113Z. Luksa247980
LMay 1 · 16:30R. Adamczyk351013120Z. Luksa411215143
LApr 25 · 18:00R. Adamczyk56131861182Z. Luksa601120117113
R. Adamczyk10
WSep 12 · 15:00I. Kolenciak3.40691161R. Adamczyk1.3011116113LAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113LAug 22 · 18:00D. Tyn1.501111113R. Adamczyk2.504350WAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk1.7311911113D. Vavrecka2.00211641WAug 10 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.61661141R. Adamczyk2.2011119113WAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113WAug 10 · 06:30R. Adamczyk1.251111113J. Toth3.759640LAug 9 · 09:28P. Banot1.67111211113R. Adamczyk2.10514321
Z. Luksa10
WSep 12 · 15:30Z. Luksa2.3871112113M. Blaha1.531191071LSep 9 · 13:01I. Palmi1.6711912113Z. Luksa2.109111041LSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113LSep 9 · 11:30I. Palmi2.001311113Z. Luksa1.7311960LSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.36411971J. Toth3.0011511113LAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113LAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stolba1.67611261Z. Luksa2.1011911113WAug 27 · 10:30Z. Luksa1.6712711113D. Vavrecka2.101011791LAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113
Upcoming Matches
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Z. Luksa
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