TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114434
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Blaha
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513117113––––
Ivan Kolenciak
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:43 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Blaha to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Blaha above · Ivan Kolenciak below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 60 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Michal Blaha at 59.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Michal Blaha 8–3 Ivan Kolenciak Ivan Kolenciak has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:43What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Blaha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Blaha
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blaha 1216 vs Kolenciak 1222
Kolenciak
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blaha 80% vs Kolenciak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blaha 70% vs Kolenciak 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blaha +2 · Kolenciak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Blaha) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenciak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlaha 1.36 / Kolenciak 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Blaha)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114434
Blaha1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 31 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Kolenciak3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlaha8wins
AwayKolenciak2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBlaha leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlaha100%8 of 8
AwayKolenciakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blaha8Kolenciak2n = 10Blaha took 8 of 10
S2Blaha6Kolenciak4n = 10Blaha took 6 of 10
S3Blaha6Kolenciak4n = 10Blaha took 6 of 10
S4Blaha3Kolenciak0n = 3Blaha took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlahaKolenciakB − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.526.9+7.6per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlahaKolenciakBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 188 vs 85 / 18451.1%46.2%96 / 188 vs 85 / 184Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlahaBlaha 1.36/Kolenciak 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Blaha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Blaha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 13 · 15:00M. Blaha361114113I. Kolenciak2571260
WMay 30 · 17:30M. Blaha48116911113I. Kolenciak3431111542
WMay 30 · 16:00M. Blaha4111811113I. Kolenciak32411981
WApr 18 · 13:00M. Blaha43111110113I. Kolenciak30851251
LApr 18 · 10:00M. Blaha175840I. Kolenciak331111113
WApr 5 · 08:00M. Blaha341211113I. Kolenciak2410950
WMar 29 · 09:30M. Blaha331111113I. Kolenciak178180
WMar 29 · 06:00M. Blaha331111113I. Kolenciak218580
WMar 8 · 09:30M. Blaha331111113I. Kolenciak196580
LDec 7 · 10:23M. Blaha2791080I. Kolenciak341112113
M. Blaha10
LSep 12 · 16:00M. Blaha1.8091080R. Adamczyk1.911112113LSep 12 · 15:30Z. Luksa2.3871112113M. Blaha1.531191071WAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462LAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530WAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171WAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192LAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191WAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112
I. Kolenciak10
LSep 12 · 16:30I. Kolenciak1.739760Z. Luksa2.001111113LSep 12 · 15:00I. Kolenciak3.40691161R. Adamczyk1.3011116113LSep 9 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.6166111362J. Toth2.201111511113WSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113WSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113WSep 9 · 10:30I. Kolenciak1.53411812113I. Palmi2.38119111072WSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851WSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781LSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113
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