Ivan Kolenciak vs Josef Toth 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13104385

Played Sep 9Finished

Ivan Kolenciak

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 5

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

6116111151311611

Josef Toth

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingIvan Kolenciak above · Josef Toth below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 13-11

Set 5 · 6-11

Point 91 set 5, 6-11

91 points played in total.

H2H Ivan Kolenciak 7–5 Josef Toth Josef Toth has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Kolenciak beat Toth 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kolenciak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Toth form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKolenciak 1.61 / Toth 2.20

Signal prob.58% / 42%

Edge (Kolenciak)+0.4pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13104385

Kolenciak1.61

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 5

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite52% won 24 of 46

Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28

Toth2.20

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog54% won 30 of 56

Down 0–1, comes back31% 8 of 26

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKolenciak5wins

AwayToth5wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKolenciak66.7%4 of 6

AwayToth75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kolenciak6Toth4n = 10Kolenciak took 6 of 10

S2Kolenciak4Toth6n = 10Toth took 6 of 10

S3Kolenciak6Toth4n = 10Kolenciak took 6 of 10

S4Kolenciak4Toth4n = 8split evenly

S5Kolenciak1Toth2n = 3Toth took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKolenciakTothK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.240.0−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKolenciakTothBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 183 vs 79 / 17146.5%46.2%85 / 183 vs 79 / 171Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kolenciak

Kolenciak 1.61/Toth 2.20

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.1%

Kolenciak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Toth won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 9 · 11:00I. Kolenciak—115117113J. Toth—81191142

LAug 7 · 11:30I. Kolenciak—51481172J. Toth—1112119113

LJul 30 · 06:30I. Kolenciak—421181J. Toth—11117113

WJul 9 · 09:30I. Kolenciak—11911113J. Toth—811781

LJul 9 · 07:00I. Kolenciak—7640J. Toth—1111113

LJun 30 · 08:30I. Kolenciak—116111092J. Toth—911612113

WMay 30 · 14:00I. Kolenciak—111110113J. Toth—991291

WMay 7 · 12:58I. Kolenciak—81111133J. Toth—1165111

LMay 7 · 11:00I. Kolenciak—1251191J. Toth—101113113

WMay 2 · 06:30I. Kolenciak—1112153J. Toth—710130

I. Kolenciak10

WSep 9 · 12:00Z. Luksa1.83111191192I. Kolenciak1.83361113113 WSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113 WSep 9 · 10:30I. Kolenciak1.53411812113I. Palmi2.38119111072 WSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851 WSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892 LSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781 LSep 6 · 10:00I. Kolenciak1.577111041A. Kanak2.2511712113 WAug 7 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.4021111113I. Palmi2.75118641 WAug 7 · 12:00I. Kolenciak1.531111113I. Palmi2.388690 LAug 7 · 11:30J. Toth1.911112119113I. Kolenciak1.8051481172

J. Toth10

WSep 9 · 12:30J. Toth2.101110911123I. Palmi1.67612118102 LSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113 WSep 9 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.36411971J. Toth3.0011511113 LAug 23 · 09:30J. Toth2.63711331Z. Luksa1.4411711113 WAug 23 · 08:30A. Kanak1.615980J. Toth2.201111113 WAug 23 · 07:30J. Toth2.201111310113D. Vavrecka1.6189111242 WAug 23 · 06:30Z. Luksa1.4091171182J. Toth2.75115118113 LAug 15 · 12:59J. Toth1.3710970J. Foltynek2.871211113 LAug 15 · 12:00J. Toth1.6711114842M. Stolba2.10991111113 WAug 7 · 11:30J. Toth1.911112119113I. Kolenciak1.8051481172

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