TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13111626
Played Sep 10Finished
Vitezslav Burdik
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611311115119117
Lukas Kern
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVitezslav Burdik above · Lukas Kern below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7
85 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Burdik 2–0 Lukas Kern Lukas Kern has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Burdik beat Kern 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Burdik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kern form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurdik 1.33 / Kern 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Burdik)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13111626
Burdik1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Kern3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBurdik2wins
AwayKern0wins
Burdik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBurdikKernB − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.527.5+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurdikKernBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 193 vs 138 / 26551.3%52.1%99 / 193 vs 138 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurdikBurdik 1.33/Kern 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Burdik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Burdik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 10 · 19:30V. Burdik—1114113L. Kern—71240
WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik—11411113L. Kern—911571
V. Burdik10
WSep 10 · 20:00V. Burdik1.53111011143M. Chalupa2.388129121WSep 10 · 19:30L. Kern2.7571240V. Burdik1.401114113WSep 10 · 18:00V. Burdik1.801111143D. Szotek1.9189120WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101
L. Kern10
WSep 10 · 20:30D. Szotek1.91119731L. Kern1.8041111113LSep 10 · 19:30L. Kern2.7571240V. Burdik1.401114113WSep 10 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.679118101L. Kern2.1011711123LSep 9 · 20:58L. Kern1.6771290D. Szotek2.101114113WSep 9 · 20:30D. Szotek2.10116451L. Kern1.6731111113LSep 9 · 19:30L. Kern2.00911100M. Chalupa1.731113123LSep 9 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.8311119113L. Kern1.83881121LSep 9 · 17:30M. Holub2.10151199133L. Kern1.671361111112WSep 9 · 16:30L. Kern1.50941411113M. Holub2.50111112842LSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571
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