TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103456
Played Sep 10Finished
Vitezslav Burdik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191412––––
David Szotek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:27 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Szotek to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitezslav Burdik above · David Szotek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 65 set 3, 14-12 — our read held David Szotek at 55.5%
65 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Burdik 6–11 David Szotek Vitezslav Burdik has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:27What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Burdik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Szotek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burdik 1710 vs Szotek 1622
Burdik
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burdik 40% vs Szotek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burdik 50% vs Szotek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burdik +1 · Szotek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burdik) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurdik 1.80 / Szotek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Burdik)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103456
Burdik1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Szotek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 49 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurdik4wins
AwaySzotek6wins
Szotek leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurdik75%3 of 4
AwaySzotek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burdik4Szotek6n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10
S2Burdik4Szotek6n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10
S3Burdik4Szotek6n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10
S4Burdik2Szotek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurdikSzotekB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.134.4−1.3per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurdikSzotekBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 190 vs 169 / 36350.5%46.6%96 / 190 vs 169 / 363Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurdikBurdik 1.80/Szotek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Burdik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Burdik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 15 · 17:29V. Burdik—1113881D. Szotek—81511113
LJul 15 · 14:00V. Burdik—81290D. Szotek—1114113
LJul 8 · 17:30V. Burdik—81460D. Szotek—1116113
WJul 8 · 16:30V. Burdik—61111123D. Szotek—1167101
WJul 2 · 20:00V. Burdik—1211113D. Szotek—10740
WJun 14 · 19:30V. Burdik—12129113D. Szotek—10101181
WMay 5 · 18:00V. Burdik—1211113D. Szotek—10940
LMar 16 · 22:00V. Burdik—8490D. Szotek—1111113
LMar 16 · 21:30V. Burdik—9712111D. Szotek—111110133
LNov 23 · 15:00V. Burdik—10660D. Szotek—121173
V. Burdik10
WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101LSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113LAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851
D. Szotek10
WSep 9 · 20:58L. Kern1.6771290D. Szotek2.101114113LSep 9 · 20:30D. Szotek2.10116451L. Kern1.6731111113LSep 9 · 19:00D. Szotek1.615118101R. Hudeczek2.2011711123LSep 9 · 18:00M. Chalupa1.8311712123D. Szotek1.8341110101WSep 9 · 17:15D. Szotek1.751111143R. Hudeczek1.9599120LSep 9 · 16:00R. Hudeczek2.209121111113D. Szotek1.6111145472WSep 9 · 15:00L. Kern1.6711111071D. Szotek2.1013712113LSep 9 · 14:30D. Szotek1.611271191M. Holub2.2014119113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Chalupa1.851111113D. Szotek1.859760WSep 7 · 20:00D. Szotek1.53117148113R. Hudeczek2.38711121192
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