TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097901
Played Sep 9Finished
David Szotek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214711119911––
Marek Holub
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Szotek to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Szotek above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 84 set 4, 9-11 — our read held David Szotek at 66.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H David Szotek 4–2 Marek Holub Marek Holub has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Szotek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Szotek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotek 1642 vs Holub 1578
Szotek
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotek 40% vs Holub 0%
Szotek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotek 40% vs Holub 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotek -1 · Holub -5
Holub
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Szotek) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotek 1.61 / Holub 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Szotek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13097901
Szotek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 41 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Holub2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 75 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSzotek4wins
AwayHolub2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderSzotek leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotek75%3 of 4
AwayHolubn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotek4Holub2n = 6Szotek took 4 of 6
S2Szotek4Holub2n = 6Szotek took 4 of 6
S3Szotek2Holub4n = 6Holub took 4 of 6
S4Szotek2Holub2n = 4split evenly
S5Szotek2Holub1n = 3Szotek took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSzotekHolubS − HBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.338.8+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotekHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 355 vs 148 / 31646.8%46.8%166 / 355 vs 148 / 316Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotekSzotek 1.61/Holub 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Szotek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 7 · 18:00D. Szotek—4111311113M. Holub—11615842
LAug 25 · 16:00D. Szotek—11511682M. Holub—911911113
WAug 24 · 10:30D. Szotek—1111113M. Holub—5990
LAug 20 · 16:59D. Szotek—7660M. Holub—1111113
WAug 20 · 14:30D. Szotek—111189113M. Holub—88111182
WAug 19 · 20:30D. Szotek—111110113M. Holub—691291
D. Szotek10
WSep 9 · 15:00L. Kern1.6711111071D. Szotek2.1013712113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Chalupa1.851111113D. Szotek1.859760WSep 7 · 20:00D. Szotek1.53117148113R. Hudeczek2.38711121192LSep 7 · 19:30M. Chalupa1.83111111133D. Szotek1.839135111WSep 7 · 18:00D. Szotek1.614111311113M. Holub2.2011615842LAug 31 · 13:00D. Szotek1.6761181462M. Chalupa2.101191112113LAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181WAug 31 · 11:30D. Szotek1.911111123M. Chalupa1.8098100LAug 31 · 10:30L. Kern1.61741412113D. Szotek2.201111121092WAug 25 · 21:28D. Szotek1.831111113M. Chalupa1.834660
M. Holub10
WSep 9 · 15:30M. Holub2.10991114113R. Hudeczek1.67111161292LSep 7 · 21:00R. Hudeczek1.67113138113M. Holub2.10711111172LSep 7 · 20:30M. Holub2.007580M. Chalupa1.731111113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub2.20141341162R. Hudeczek1.611611114113LSep 7 · 18:00D. Szotek1.614111311113M. Holub2.2011615842LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172
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