TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099110
Played Sep 9Finished
Marek Holub
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9119111161412119
Roman Hudeczek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Holub above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 103 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 55.8%
103 points played in total.
H2H Marek Holub 17–19 Roman Hudeczek Marek Holub has won 17 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hudeczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-19 in 36
Hudeczek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holub 1592 vs Hudeczek 1700
Hudeczek
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 20% vs Hudeczek 40%
Hudeczek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 30% vs Hudeczek 70%
Hudeczek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub +1 · Hudeczek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hudeczek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.10 / Hudeczek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hudeczek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099110
Holub2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 75 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Hudeczek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 76 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it77% 53 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub4wins
AwayHudeczek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub80%4 of 5
AwayHudeczek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S2Holub4Hudeczek6n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S3Holub5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S4Holub5Hudeczek2n = 7Holub took 5 of 7
S5Holub1Hudeczek4n = 5Hudeczek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubHudeczekHolub − HudeczekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.739.4+2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 317 vs 168 / 34447%48.8%149 / 317 vs 168 / 344Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHolub 2.10/Hudeczek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 21:00M. Holub—711111172R. Hudeczek—113138113
LSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub—141341162R. Hudeczek—1611114113
WSep 2 · 20:30M. Holub—11711113R. Hudeczek—911321
WSep 1 · 19:00M. Holub—1612113R. Hudeczek—141050
LAug 17 · 14:00M. Holub—1191112102R. Hudeczek—711614123
LJul 29 · 17:28M. Holub—8870R. Hudeczek—1111113
WJul 29 · 14:30M. Holub—11711113R. Hudeczek—711651
LJul 26 · 21:12M. Holub—99141172R. Hudeczek—1111127113
LJul 26 · 19:00M. Holub—9970R. Hudeczek—1111113
WJul 24 · 21:30M. Holub—131189113R. Hudeczek—116111152
M. Holub10
WSep 9 · 14:30D. Szotek1.611271191M. Holub2.2014119113LSep 7 · 21:00R. Hudeczek1.67113138113M. Holub2.10711111172LSep 7 · 20:30M. Holub2.007580M. Chalupa1.731111113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub2.20141341162R. Hudeczek1.611611114113LSep 7 · 18:00D. Szotek1.614111311113M. Holub2.2011615842LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172
R. Hudeczek10
LSep 9 · 14:00R. Hudeczek1.83871181L. Kern1.8311118113WSep 7 · 21:00R. Hudeczek1.67113138113M. Holub2.10711111172LSep 7 · 20:00D. Szotek1.53117148113R. Hudeczek2.38711121192WSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub2.20141341162R. Hudeczek1.611611114113LSep 7 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.80861171M. Chalupa1.9111118113WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101
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