TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087263
Played Sep 7Finished
Roman Hudeczek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611118711––
Michal Chalupa
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · Michal Chalupa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 57.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 29–25 Michal Chalupa Michal Chalupa has won 25 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:09What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hudeczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-25 in 54
Hudeczek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1710 vs Chalupa 1691
Hudeczek
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 100% vs Chalupa 60%
Hudeczek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 70% vs Chalupa 50%
Hudeczek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek +5 · Chalupa -1
Hudeczek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chalupa) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 1.80 / Chalupa 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chalupa)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087263
Hudeczek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it76% 51 of 67
Chalupa1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 97 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back26% 33 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek6wins
AwayChalupa4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek75%3 of 4
AwayChalupa50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek4Chalupa6n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S2Hudeczek3Chalupa7n = 10Chalupa took 7 of 10
S3Hudeczek6Chalupa4n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S4Hudeczek4Chalupa5n = 9Chalupa took 5 of 9
S5Hudeczek4Chalupa0n = 4Hudeczek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekChalupaH − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.70.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 342 vs 375 / 71348.8%52.6%167 / 342 vs 375 / 713Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaHudeczek 1.80/Chalupa 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 18:30R. Hudeczek—861171M. Chalupa—11118113
WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek—1110117113M. Chalupa—81291142
WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—711115113M. Chalupa—11581132
WSep 4 · 14:30R. Hudeczek—11119113M. Chalupa—451171
LSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—7101191M. Chalupa—11129113
LSep 1 · 18:00R. Hudeczek—11790M. Chalupa—1311113
LAug 26 · 18:30R. Hudeczek—117481M. Chalupa—71111113
WAug 25 · 18:00R. Hudeczek—168511113M. Chalupa—141111982
WAug 24 · 17:07R. Hudeczek—41111113M. Chalupa—118591
WAug 24 · 16:30R. Hudeczek—991113143M. Chalupa—1111811122
R. Hudeczek10
LSep 7 · 20:00D. Szotek1.53117148113R. Hudeczek2.38711121192WSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub2.20141341162R. Hudeczek1.611611114113WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113
M. Chalupa10
WSep 7 · 20:30M. Holub2.007580M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 7 · 19:30M. Chalupa1.83111111133D. Szotek1.839135111LSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113LSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.5711811113Z. Pagac2.25911481WSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113LSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.2511712113M. Chalupa1.574111091LSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113
Upcoming Matches
R. Hudeczek
M. Chalupa
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.