TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087514
Played Sep 7Finished
David Szotek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1177111412811119
Roman Hudeczek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Szotek to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Szotek above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 101 set 5, 11-9 — our read held David Szotek at 59.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H David Szotek 6–4 Roman Hudeczek Roman Hudeczek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Szotek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Szotek
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotek 1665 vs Hudeczek 1710
Hudeczek
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotek 40% vs Hudeczek 80%
Hudeczek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotek 50% vs Hudeczek 80%
Hudeczek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotek -1 · Hudeczek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Szotek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotek 1.53 / Hudeczek 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Szotek)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13087514
Szotek1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 39 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it75% 30 of 40
Hudeczek2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 62 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back34% 24 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back22% 8 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotek6wins
AwayHudeczek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSzotek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotek100%6 of 6
AwayHudeczek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotek6Hudeczek4n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10
S2Szotek4Hudeczek6n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S3Szotek6Hudeczek4n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10
S4Szotek3Hudeczek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotekHudeczekS − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.835.0−0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotekHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 354 vs 167 / 34246.9%48.8%166 / 354 vs 167 / 342Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotekSzotek 1.53/Hudeczek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Szotek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szotek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 20:00D. Szotek—117148113R. Hudeczek—711121192
WAug 25 · 19:30D. Szotek—1111113R. Hudeczek—7860
WAug 24 · 15:00D. Szotek—1311113R. Hudeczek—11350
WAug 21 · 20:00D. Szotek—17511113R. Hudeczek—1511881
LAug 19 · 17:00D. Szotek—9740R. Hudeczek—1111113
LAug 19 · 14:00D. Szotek—9470R. Hudeczek—1111113
LAug 16 · 11:00D. Szotek—911971R. Hudeczek—11711113
WJul 9 · 14:00D. Szotek—11611113R. Hudeczek—611981
WJun 1 · 17:21D. Szotek—12128113R. Hudeczek—101011101
LJun 1 · 14:00D. Szotek—831151R. Hudeczek—11114113
D. Szotek10
LSep 7 · 19:30M. Chalupa1.83111111133D. Szotek1.839135111WSep 7 · 18:00D. Szotek1.614111311113M. Holub2.2011615842LAug 31 · 13:00D. Szotek1.6761181462M. Chalupa2.101191112113LAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181WAug 31 · 11:30D. Szotek1.911111123M. Chalupa1.8098100LAug 31 · 10:30L. Kern1.61741412113D. Szotek2.201111121092WAug 25 · 21:28D. Szotek1.831111113M. Chalupa1.834660LAug 25 · 20:30M. Chalupa1.7311101111113D. Szotek2.0081213772WAug 25 · 19:30D. Szotek1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.207860WAug 25 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.916690D. Szotek1.801111113
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub2.20141341162R. Hudeczek1.611611114113LSep 7 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.80861171M. Chalupa1.9111118113WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731LAug 25 · 19:30D. Szotek1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.207860
Upcoming Matches
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