TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087569
Played Sep 7Finished
Marek Holub
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
14161311411114611
Roman Hudeczek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:25 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Holub above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 101 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 57.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H Marek Holub 17–17 Roman Hudeczek Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hudeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-17 in 34
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holub 1603 vs Hudeczek 1715
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 20% vs Hudeczek 80%
Hudeczek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 40% vs Hudeczek 70%
Hudeczek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub -3 · Hudeczek -1
Holub
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hudeczek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.20 / Hudeczek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Hudeczek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087569
Holub2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 75 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Hudeczek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it76% 51 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub5wins
AwayHudeczek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub83.3%5 of 6
AwayHudeczek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub6Hudeczek4n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S2Holub2Hudeczek8n = 10Hudeczek took 8 of 10
S3Holub6Hudeczek4n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S4Holub4Hudeczek2n = 6Holub took 4 of 6
S5Holub1Hudeczek2n = 3Hudeczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubHudeczekHolub − HudeczekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.536.8+2.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 313 vs 166 / 34047.3%48.8%148 / 313 vs 166 / 340Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHolub 2.20/Hudeczek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 20:30M. Holub—11711113R. Hudeczek—911321
WSep 1 · 19:00M. Holub—1612113R. Hudeczek—141050
LAug 17 · 14:00M. Holub—1191112102R. Hudeczek—711614123
LJul 29 · 17:28M. Holub—8870R. Hudeczek—1111113
WJul 29 · 14:30M. Holub—11711113R. Hudeczek—711651
LJul 26 · 21:12M. Holub—99141172R. Hudeczek—1111127113
LJul 26 · 19:00M. Holub—9970R. Hudeczek—1111113
WJul 24 · 21:30M. Holub—131189113R. Hudeczek—116111152
WJul 24 · 20:00M. Holub—121011113R. Hudeczek—1012761
LJul 24 · 16:30M. Holub—611120R. Hudeczek—1113143
M. Holub10
LSep 7 · 18:00D. Szotek1.614111311113M. Holub2.2011615842LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412LSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172LSep 1 · 21:28M. Holub2.0012991182M. Chalupa1.731011117113
R. Hudeczek10
LSep 7 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.80861171M. Chalupa1.9111118113WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113LSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113
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