TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13094910
Played Sep 7Finished
Roman Hudeczek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1173111311811117
Marek Holub
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 62.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 18–17 Marek Holub Marek Holub has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hudeczek beat Holub 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hudeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-17 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1710 vs Holub 1585
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 60% vs Holub 0%
Hudeczek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 70% vs Holub 40%
Hudeczek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek -1 · Holub -5
Holub
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hudeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 1.67 / Holub 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hudeczek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13094910
Hudeczek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it76% 51 of 67
Holub2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 75 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek5wins
AwayHolub5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek100%4 of 4
AwayHolub83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek4Holub6n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S2Hudeczek7Holub3n = 10Hudeczek took 7 of 10
S3Hudeczek4Holub6n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S4Hudeczek2Holub5n = 7Holub took 5 of 7
S5Hudeczek3Holub1n = 4Hudeczek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekHolubHudeczek − HolubBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.341.4−3.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 342 vs 148 / 31548.8%47%167 / 342 vs 148 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHudeczek 1.67/Holub 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—1611114113M. Holub—141341162
LSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek—911321M. Holub—11711113
LSep 1 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—141050M. Holub—1612113
WAug 17 · 14:00R. Hudeczek—711614123M. Holub—1191112102
WJul 29 · 17:28R. Hudeczek—1111113M. Holub—8870
LJul 29 · 14:30R. Hudeczek—711651M. Holub—11711113
WJul 26 · 21:12R. Hudeczek—1111127113M. Holub—99141172
WJul 26 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—1111113M. Holub—9970
LJul 24 · 21:30R. Hudeczek—116111152M. Holub—131189113
LJul 24 · 20:00R. Hudeczek—1012761M. Holub—121011113
R. Hudeczek10
LSep 7 · 20:00D. Szotek1.53117148113R. Hudeczek2.38711121192WSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub2.20141341162R. Hudeczek1.611611114113LSep 7 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.80861171M. Chalupa1.9111118113WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731
M. Holub10
LSep 7 · 20:30M. Holub2.007580M. Chalupa1.731111113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub2.20141341162R. Hudeczek1.611611114113LSep 7 · 18:00D. Szotek1.614111311113M. Holub2.2011615842LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.