TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104515
Played Sep 10Finished
Lukas Kern
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111214411––––
Vitezslav Burdik
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Burdik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Kern above · Vitezslav Burdik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 59 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Vitezslav Burdik at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kern 0–1 Vitezslav Burdik Lukas Kern has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Burdik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kern 1587 vs Burdik 1728
Burdik
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kern 40% vs Burdik 60%
Burdik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kern 50% vs Burdik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kern +1 · Burdik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Burdik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burdik form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKern 2.75 / Burdik 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Burdik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104515
Kern2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Burdik1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKern0wins
AwayBurdik1wins
Burdik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKernBurdikK − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match32.037.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKernBurdikBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 263 vs 97 / 19152.1%50.8%137 / 263 vs 97 / 191Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurdikKern 2.75/Burdik 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Burdik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Burdik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 1 · 20:30L. Kern—911571V. Burdik—11411113
L. Kern10
WSep 10 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.679118101L. Kern2.1011711123LSep 9 · 20:58L. Kern1.6771290D. Szotek2.101114113WSep 9 · 20:30D. Szotek2.10116451L. Kern1.6731111113LSep 9 · 19:30L. Kern2.00911100M. Chalupa1.731113123LSep 9 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.8311119113L. Kern1.83881121LSep 9 · 17:30M. Holub2.10151199133L. Kern1.671361111112WSep 9 · 16:30L. Kern1.50941411113M. Holub2.50111112842LSep 9 · 15:00L. Kern1.6711111071D. Szotek2.1013712113WSep 9 · 14:00R. Hudeczek1.83871181L. Kern1.8311118113WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011
V. Burdik10
WSep 10 · 18:00V. Burdik1.801111143D. Szotek1.9189120WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101LSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113
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