TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13105044
Played Sep 10Finished
Dauud Cheaib
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 1
Set by set
1517––––––––
Thomas Pellny
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 72.4% is still 72.4%
Graded at full timeDauud Cheaib to win
72.4%
72.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDauud Cheaib above · Thomas Pellny below
Set 1 · 15-17
Point 32 set 1, 15-17 — our read held Dauud Cheaib at 72.4%
32 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Cheaib
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Cheaib 1956 vs Pellny 1652
Cheaib
Wrong
both rated, 304 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cheaib 80% vs Pellny 0%
Cheaib
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cheaib 80% vs Pellny 50%
Cheaib
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cheaib -1 · Pellny -5
Pellny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Cheaib) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pellny form (0%) is below what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCheaib 1.17 / Pellny 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Cheaib)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13105044
Cheaib1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Pellny4.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCheaibPellnyBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 85 vs 11 / 1980%57.9%68 / 85 vs 11 / 19Avg sets wonper match2.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CheaibCheaib 1.17/Pellny 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Cheaib · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–1
Pellny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Cheaib10
LAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.051111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171WAug 14 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.601111113M. Stefanidis2.102750WAug 13 · 16:00D. Cheaib1.331110119113L. Qiu3.2551241192WAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271WAug 13 · 11:00D. Cheaib1.37481511123N. Kizakisz2.801111136102LAug 13 · 08:30O. Kosolosky2.751113113D. Cheaib1.4081130WAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib1.071111113M. Neumaier7.505920
T. Pellny10
LJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660LJun 23 · 09:15M. Danzer1.57611812113T. Pellny2.25117111062LJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny2.10681121K. Fadeev1.6711118113LJun 23 · 07:30T. Pellny1.95681121K. Fadeev1.7511118113LJun 22 · 16:10T. Pellny1.80131111772M. Stefanidis1.901191311113WJun 22 · 14:00T. Pellny4.33511119113M. Danzer1.2011861182WJun 22 · 10:30T. Pellny1.731111117113M. Nogami2.0081371172WJun 22 · 08:30T. Pellny1.2812119113A. Ostrovskyi3.501061171WJun 22 · 06:30T. Pellny1.141111139113L. Dreykorn5.0096151182WApr 17 · 10:40D. Rinderer1.8371211952T. Pellny1.831110811113
Upcoming Matches
D. Cheaib
T. Pellny1 of 6 neutral
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